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000
FXUS65 KPUB 061045
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
345 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 343 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A CONTINUED SLOW MODERATION IN
TEMPERATURES. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TODAY TO CLIMB ROUGHLY 5-7F FROM
YESTERDAY`S NUMBERS AS SNOW COVER OVER THE PLAINS/VALLEYS
CONTINUES TO DIMINISH AND MID LEVEL TEMPS WARM 2-3C BY LATE
AFTERNOON. SATELLITE LOOP SUGGESTS NORTHERN ZONES...NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 50 COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WAVE CLOUDINESS THIS
MORNING BEFORE SKIES BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY AREA-WIDE BY AFTERNOON.
OVERNIGHT...VERY SUBTLE LEE TROUGH ALONG I25 MAY KEEP EASTERN
MOUNTAIN SLOPES RELATIVELY WARM...WHILE MOUNTAINS/VALLEYS AND
EASTERN PLAINS DECOUPLE AND BECOME SEASONABLY COLD BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 343 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

...WARMING UP NEXT WEEK...

EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS LARGELY DRY AND UNEVENTFUL...AS THE POSITIVE
PNA PATTERN THAT DOMINATED MUCH OF THE WINTER BECOMES REESTABLISHED
OVER THE CONUS.

A COUPLE WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL SERVE AS THE MAIN WX EVENTS OVER THE
NEXT WEEK OR SO. FIRST WAVE WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE RN PLAINS AND
UPPR MISS VALLEY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...AND WILL PARTIALLY
PHASE WITH A DEPARTING CUTOFF LOW THAT WILL TRACK THROUGH SRN NM AND
INTO TX ON SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE MTS
ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY RANGE
FROM ONE TO FOUR INCHES OVER THE CONTDVD...AND SOME LIGHTER ACCUMS
FOR THE ERN RANGES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE ERN PLAINS ON
SUNDAY BUT WILL NOT HAVE A HUGE IMPACT ON TEMPS...AND BY TUE SHOULD
SEE TEMPS RECOVER TO NR AVERAGE VALUES FOR EARLY-MID MARCH.

A COUPLE DRY DAYS WILL FOLLOW AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVER THE
ROCKIES...AND BY WED TEMPS SHOULD BE IN THE 60S TO POSSIBLY LOWER
70S ACROSS THE PLAINS. NEXT SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY...BUT DOES NOT LOOK PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE AT THIS
POINT...JUST A WEAK LOW EMBEDDED UNDER THE LONG WAVE RIDGE. ENSEMBLE
POPS LOOK A BIT LOW OVER THE MTS FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEK...BUT WILL
STICK WITH THEM FOR NOW GIVEN THE WEAK SYSTEM AND TIMING
UNCERTAINTIES. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 343 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

VFR CONDITIONS OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO THE NEXT 24 HRS AS DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES. MAY SEE SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG ALONG THE
RIO GRANDE NEAR KALS AFTER SUNRISE...BUT DON`T THINK IT WILL IMPACT
THE TERMINAL AND WILL KEEP FORECAST VFR.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PETERSEN
LONG TERM...ROSE
AVIATION...PETERSEN