Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 290700
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
305 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX DETECTS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS OF THE ATLANTIC. ELSEWHERE...KBYX DETECTS NO PRECIPITATION
ECHOES IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. SKIES OVER THE ISLAND
CHAIN ARE PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDS OVER LAND ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
C-MAN WINDS...ON AVERAGE...ARE VARIABLE AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS SOUTHWARD DOWN THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BEFORE DISSIPATING
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THURSDAY. ADEQUATE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE TO SUPPORT CONVECTION TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. LACK OF APPARENT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WILL PROMPT RAIN
CHANCES NEAR OR ABOVE ALL NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...
AN ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES IN THE LONG TERM PORTION
OF THE FORECAST SHOULD BE GREATEST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE CONTENT IS EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST DURING THAT
TIME PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT SOUTHWEST TO WEST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL ON ALL KEYS COASTAL
WATERS TODAY. NO ADVISORIES OR CAUTIONARY HEADLINES EXPECTED TODAY
THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
29TH/06Z TAF ISSUANCE...NOCTURNAL SHOWERS MAY CREATE BRIEF PERIODS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS. AFTER DAYBREAK
HOWEVER...VFR SHOULD PREVAIL. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...IN 1996...1.23 INCHES OF RAIN
FELL AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS SET THE DAILY RECORD
FOR MAXIMUM RAINFALL MEASURED IN KEY WEST ON JULY 29TH. RAINFALL
RECORDS AT KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1871.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  92 83 91 82 / 10 10 20 20
MARATHON  93 82 93 81 / 10 10 20 20

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE/CLIMATE/DIGITAL...BS
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....................MSB

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