Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 301541
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1041 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY - A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS DESCENDING SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...AND IN THE PROCESS OF WASHING
OUT THE WEAK TAIL END OF A TROUGH STRETCHING ACROSS FLORIDA. LOCAL
WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST WITH TEMPERATURES
ALREADY UP NEAR 70 DEGREES. DEW POINTS REMAIN DOWN IN THE UPPER 60S.
NEARLY ALL CLOUD COVER IS LOCATED SOUTH AND EAST OF A CONVERGENCE
BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM EAST OF THE UPPER KEYS...INTO THE OUTER
STRAITS OF THE LOWER KEYS.

SHORT TERM (THIS AFTERNOON) - SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TREND MORE
NORTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SOUTH FLORIDA WARMS...AND THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED WEAK TROUGH DISSIPATES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE NIL DUE TO DRY STABLE CONDITIONS. THE ONGOING
FORECAST IS ON TRACK...AND NO UPDATE IS PLANNED.

&&

.MARINE...
GENTLE NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL GRADUALLY BACK THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS A WEAK TROUGH WASHES OUT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. NO
CAUTIONS WILL BE IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE STILL ON TAP TO
SURGE SIGNIFICANTLY TONIGHT AS A STRONG HIGH MOVES TOWARDS THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. CAUTIONS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT FOR INCREASING WINDS. A FEW HOURS OF NEAR 20
KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ESSENTIALLY NO CHANGES MADE IN THE MORNING
MARINE UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT EYW AND MTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BE GENERALLY BETWEEN 8 TO 12 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST.
LATER TONIGHT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND RANGE BETWEEN 15
AND 20 KNOTS.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....KN
DATA COLLECTION.......FLING

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