Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 182337
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
537 PM CST Thu Jan 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will be
light out of the south to southwest through the night except at
FST where winds will be elevated. Winds will pick up in intensity
by afternoon out of the southwest with gusts up to 25kts.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 128 PM CST Thu Jan 18 2018/

DISCUSSION...

A weak upper level low pressure area in the Rio Grande River
Valley will continue to move east tonight and be replaced by an
upper level ridge of high pressure on Friday. More fair skies and
moderating temperatures will continue Friday underneath the ridge.
By Saturday southwesterly flow aloft will develop ahead of a
potent Pacific storm system. A corresponding surface trough/low
will develop and intensify with downslope flow and low level
thermal ridging boosting temperatures to much above normal values
by Saturday afternoon.

Guidance is in decent agreement tracking the Pacific system across
the central rockies and plains on Sunday. Windy to very windy
conditions will likely develop with high winds probable in the
mountains. Advisory level winds (and some blowing dust) look possible
in the plains as well. A Pacific front will knock temperatures
back to near normal values Sunday afternoon.

Went with the lower GFS surface dewpoints Saturday and Sunday as
this model does the best in the swift west to southwesterly flow
aloft regimes.

Beyond Sunday dry with near normal temperatures are expected in
zonal flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     27  69  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       23  72  34  74 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         27  68  35  72 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  32  71  42  78 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 32  61  40  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          23  67  31  71 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          22  65  29  70 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           26  66  36  75 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         27  66  36  73 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           24  72  32  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/



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