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000
FXUS64 KMAF 240512
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1212 AM CDT Tue Oct 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light to modest northeast winds this TAF
period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 227 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:15 PM CDT Monday...satl imagery shows nary a
cloud in the CWA. Radar and sfc obs show a cold front moving
SSW...just passed thru Lubbock in the past hour with gusty NE
winds. Interesting to see post-frontal gravity waves on radar.

Dry weather is in store for the CWA for at least the next week. A
dry cold front will move thru the CWA mid/late this aftn in the
north...moving thru the remainder of the CWA overnight. Winds will
be gusty post frontal...with strong gap winds thru Guadalupe Pass.
Therefore...have not changed the High Wind Warning for the Pass
for tonight thru Tuesday morning.

Ridging will amplify in the Western US in response to a deep trof
in the Eastern US and another deep trof in the Pacific around
160W. This will result in a dry northwest flow aloft with dry
cold fronts this aftn/night and another one Thursday
night/Friday. Temps will be a little cooler than normal on Tuesday
(normal high for MAF is 73). Temps will warm to well above normal
on Thursday with thermal ridging over the area and compressional
heating ahead of the next cold front. This cold front will usher
in much colder air Thursday night/Friday. It`s still early but
winds could be strong thru Guadalupe Pass late Thursday
night/Friday. This is not reflected in the grids...yet but future
model runs will add some clarity. Temps will begin a warming trend
Saturday thru early next week.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     44  75  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       44  75  50  83 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         48  76  52  86 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  46  76  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 45  66  50  75 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          43  72  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          39  69  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           45  74  50  83 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         45  74  50  83 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           46  75  51  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning until noon MDT Tuesday for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

99/99/10