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000
FXUS64 KMAF 010951
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
451 AM CDT Fri Aug 1 2014

.AVIATION...

Cool, easterly upslope sfc flow will prevail next 24 hours. Buffer
soundings develop a widespread cu field most locations by late
morning/early afternoon, w/bases 4-8 kft agl. Best chances of
convection will be west, where upslope effects will be pronounced.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 446 AM CDT Fri Aug 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...

There is an upper trough over the eastern half of the conus.  A
surface high is near the area with showers and thunderstorms
developing and moving into the far western CWA.  High temperatures
will be slightly warmer today than yesterday.  Showers and
thunderstorms are expected today for mainly areas west and south of
the Pecos River.  Heavy rain will be possible with this convection
as the rain will be slow moving.  The precipitation will continue
across the area into the day Saturday with temperatures similar to
the previous day.  By Sunday, an upper ridge will become more
centered over the region so showers and thunderstorms will decrease
in areal coverage and will mainly form across the higher terrain.
Temperatures on Sunday will warm up slightly as skies begin clear
over the area.  The upper ridge will be even more prevalent over the
region on Monday leading to fewer showers and thunderstorms and
slightly warmer temperatures.  Temperatures on Monday are still
expected to be below normal.  Temperatures will warm to around
normal values on Tuesday with chances for precipitation decreasing.
Similar conditions are expected through the end of next week with
coverage of precipitation increasing across the area.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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