Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 222318
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
618 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...  /ISSUED 347 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014/

CLEAR SKIES CONTINUE OVER THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AS A HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM DOMINATES THE WEATHER AND IT WILL CONTINUE AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY.

..TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE 40S AND UPPER 30S
ALONG THE TENNESSEE RIVER. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE JUST HIGH
ENOUGH THAT FROST WILL NOT FORM...EXPECT SOME ISOLATED LOW LYING
AREAS. DID NOT ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY BECAUSE FROST WILL NOT BE
WIDE SPREAD AND IF ANY IT WILL BE PATCHY.

ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE MID-
SOUTH AND WILL BRING IN SOME CLOUDS...UNFORTUNATELY THIS MAY BLOCK
THE VIEW OF THE SOLAR ECLIPSE. YET THE UPPER TROUGH WILL ONLY
BRING IN CLOUDS...NO PRECIPITATION. FRIDAY WILL BRING A RETURN
TO CLEAR SKIES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LATE ON MONDAY AN UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. ALONG
WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY.
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM TAKES IT TIME MOVING THROUGH THE AREA IT BRINGS
A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA...HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES DON/T CHANGE
MUCH AT THE END OF THE FORECAST DUE TO THE SLOW MOVING FRONT. CONFIDENCE
IS NOT HIGH THAT THIS WILL DEVELOP AS MOST GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT
THIS BEING A FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT IS WEAK IN THE MID-SOUTH.
THUS ONLY EXPECTING LIGHT PRECIPITATION YET THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT THE MID-SOUTH MAY STAY DRY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. PUT IN CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO GRADUALLY WARM UP THROUGH THE PERIOD.

TLSJR

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAF SET

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT EASTERLY
WINDS GENERALLY EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

KRM

&&

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$







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