Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 010334
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1034 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
06z TAF discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/VFR ceilings throughout the TAF period, but some of the
guidance would say IFR ceilings would be possible at a few of the
sites. Too much uncertainty to put that low of a ceiling in any of
the TAFs for now. Scattered showers/storms will continue to
develop and move across parts of the area overnight into at least
Wednesday evening. Frontal boundary across the area has retreated
west a bit this evening but is expected to move across parts of
the area through the taf period so winds will likely be
shifting/variable at several sites. Some last minute changes may
be needed before TAFs are sent depending on obs/radar trends.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1001 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

UPDATE...
Based on this evenings model runs have backed off a bit on precip
chances overnight. Appears that best chance may be close to
surface boundary, which may remain just north of I-44 corridor
north of OKC.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  63  76  62  77 /  50  70  40  40
Hobart OK         63  77  61  78 /  40  50  40  30
Wichita Falls TX  64  78  62  77 /  30  70  50  50
Gage OK           59  76  56  78 /  30  30  20  10
Ponca City OK     62  77  60  79 /  30  40  20  20
Durant OK         67  78  65  78 /  30  80  60  60

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for OKZ041-045>048-050>052.

TX...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for TXZ086>090.

&&

$$

30/25/25


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