Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 260337 AAC
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1037 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.AVIATION...
26/06Z TAFs. VFR conditions with decreasing cloud cover with
mainly light north-northeast wind. Some gusts southern half of
Oklahoma into northern Texas.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 916 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016/

UPDATE...
Updated the chance of showers overnight. Also updated
temperature/dew point/sky/wind forecast based on current
observations through 12Z.

DISCUSSION...
Remnant showers continue to dissipate this evening, with most
stations reporting a trace to 0.01" hourly rates. Therefore,
opted to remove the chance of showers except for low probabilities
across southeast Oklahoma and parts of western north Texas for the
overnight.

Otherwise, drier air and clearing skies will slowly progress from
northwest to southeast tonight. This will allow for seasonably
cool temperatures, with many locations dropping into the 50Fs for
lows. Even some upper 40Fs are likely across northern Oklahoma.

Mahale

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 637 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016/

AVIATION...
26/00Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to prevail with cigs lifting
and eventually clearing late tonight and on Monday. North-
northeast winds expected with some gusts 15-20kt across southern
Oklahoma and northern Texas terminals. No mention of -RA as
nothing more than brief sprinkles expected at terminals early this
evening.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 228 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Strong cold front to bring an end to the rain and much cooler
temps to the area.

Cold front cont to push south through the area this afternoon
with drier and cooler air filtering south in its wake. Although
some elevated post-frontal showers will likely cont through the
night near the Red River, elsewhere will be dry with gradually
clearing skies.

The much drier air will result in some cool morning next couple
of days with quite a few locations dropping into the upper 40s
by Tuesday morning.

Light winds, mild/cool temps and sunny skies will be story for
much of the week. There will be a slight chance for a few showers
or possibly a thunderstorm across far northwest Oklahoma by late
in the week as the closed low near the baja ejects northeast into
the plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  55  74  49  79 /  10   0   0   0
Hobart OK         54  74  49  79 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  58  75  52  78 /  10  10   0   0
Gage OK           48  74  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     49  73  50  80 /  10   0   0   0
Durant OK         62  75  54  80 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/11


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