Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 242343
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
543 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 335 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

Although much of the measurable precip has moved out of the
forecast area, lingering low-level stratus with drizzle will
continue to impact much of the area through this evening. As drier
air aloft makes its way into the region, the LL stratus is
forecast to exit the area, opening the door for clearing skies.
However, given the moist grounds and lingering LL moisture, it`s
possible that patchy fog could develop. Should fog develop as
currently forecast, keep in mind that with temps expected to fall
into the 20s area-wide, this would mean the potential for freezing
fog. For tomorrow into early next week, benign weather conditions
are expected to prevail.

The next chance for precipitation arrives in the middle of next
week as a surface low develops and tracks right over the region.
There isn`t much of a discrepancy in the longer-range models with
respect to whether or not precip is going to occur. There are
still some details that will come into better light though as this
time frame gets closer with respect to precip types, timing, etc.
The remainder of the long-term period looks like it should be dry
after the passage of this mid-week system.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 537 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

Expect the clearing to move through in the next few hours with a
gentle transition to VFR before midnight. Could be some patchy fog
across the area with clear skies, but thinking winds up around 5 to
10 kts may keep the area fog free. Potential is there for wind
shear to be an issue tonight, but only identified a 2-3 hour
stretch where it might be marginal, with 30-35 kt winds just 900
feet off the surface. If surface winds stay around 5 to 10 kts
that will keep the wind shear below any concerning levels.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...lg
Aviation...Leighton



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