Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
FXUS62 KFFC 212341
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
741 PM EDT Fri Oct 21 2016
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 313 PM EDT Fri Oct 21 2016/
SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...
..Wind Advisory in Effect Through 6 PM...
..High Fire Danger in Effect Through 8 PM...
Relatively uneventful short term period in store as cold front
leaves dry and breezy conditions in it`s wake. A Wind Advisory has
been issued for north and central Georgia through 6 PM today for
winds of 15 to 20 MPH and gusts to 30 MPH. Expect winds to quiet
down overnight and then increase again Saturday with peak wind gusts
around 25 MPH. At this time, another Wind Advisory is not
anticipated for Saturday. A Fire Danger Statement is likely again
for Saturday for portions of central Georgia. See the Fire Weather
section below for more information.
As the high pressure ridge builds over the region, the chilly
continental air mass will settle over the area, with markedly cooler
low temperatures through Sunday morning. Expect most areas to see
lows in the 40s each day, with mid to upper 30s possible in the
mountains. Highs will only top out in the 60s, with mostly sunny
LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...
Only tweaks to the long term based on the latest guidance.
Dry conditions expected to continue.
Long term portion begins as a cool one with temperatures Sunday
morning coming in by far the coldest of this early fall season.
Upper 30s certainly for the mountains but quite possible as well
in the normally colder locations along the west central portions
of the area. We usually see some of the largest separations from
low and high this time of year and such in the case Sunday
afternoon as highs reach the mid to upper 70s across a large area.
Continued moderating conditions through early next week that gets
slightly disrupted by a secondary high building north and east of
the area on Tue. This will send us back into the lower and mid
70s Tue and Wed from the upper 70s to around 80 on Monday.
The lone constant it seems is the lack of rainfall expected and
this extended forecast is no different unfortunately. Looking way
ahead in the models...maybe could see something with a frontal
passage next weekend...otherwise appears conditions conducive to a
worsening drought situation.
HIGH FIRE DANGER CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS....
FOR SATURDAY...A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL SEE LOWEST
HUMIDITIES IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE FOR 3 TO 4 HOURS AND 25 TO
35 PERCENT FOR NORTH GEORGIA. WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH SOME GUSTS. A HIGH FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA.
FOR SUNDAY...MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL SEE LOWEST
HUMIDITIES OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT FOR 3 TO 6 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE
LESS THAN 10 MPH ACROSS THE AREA. A HIGH FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.
VFR conditions with no precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs
expected through the period. NW winds at 10-15kt with gusts to
25kt will diminish to 7-10kt by 04-06z. Winds will increase again
to 10-15kt with gusts to 20-25kt 14-16z Sat and continue through
the evening hours.
//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 45 67 42 76 / 0 0 0 0
Atlanta 46 65 45 75 / 0 0 0 0
Blairsville 39 59 36 71 / 0 0 0 0
Cartersville 43 65 38 75 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 48 71 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
Gainesville 45 63 43 73 / 0 0 0 0
Macon 45 71 41 78 / 0 0 0 0
Rome 42 67 39 76 / 0 0 0 0
Peachtree City 43 66 39 75 / 0 0 0 0
Vidalia 49 71 44 75 / 0 0 0 0