Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 290453
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1153 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Main concerns tonight will be the potential for thunderstorm
development tonight at KSOA and KJCT. Plan to include VCTS for
KJCT. MVFR Cigs should persist at KJCT and MVFR Cigs should
develop at KBBD. Meanwhile, mid to high clouds will gradually move
east through the night.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 652 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions expected across the terminals through mid evening,
with ceilings lowering to MVFR across the far southern terminals
after 05Z. Isolated to scattered convection will be possible
across the terminals this evening, with the better coverage at
KBBD, KJCT and KSOA. MVFR ceilings will linger across the southern
terminals through late morning and early afternoon on Monday,
before lifting to VFR. Some convection may develop across the
southern terminals again Monday afternoon but uncertainties
regarding coverage will preclude mentioning at this time.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 339 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

For Tonight, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
across the southern half of West Central Texas. Going with likely
Pops across the Northwest Hill Country due to better upper level
support. Looks like the Big Country will remain dry. For Monday,
will continue slight chance to chance Pops south of an Ozona to
Brownwood line. Otherwise, a dry forecast is in store across the
remainder of the area. Highs will be in the 80s.

LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)

An unsettled weather pattern is in store across the Southern Plains
through much of this week, due to a weakening mid level cap, low
level southeast flow, weak upper level disturbances moving east
across Texas(especially Wednesday and Thursday) and abundant
moisture over the area. Going with mainly scattered showers and
thunderstorms through much of the forecast period. There will be a
period of dry weather across the northern 2/3 of the area Monday
night. Rainfall amounts are highly uncertain, but average amounts
around 1 to 1.5 inches with locally higher amounts are possible
through Friday morning.

The upcoming weekend looks mainly dry as upper level heights
increase. However, isolated to scattered mainly afternoon/evening
thunderstorms are possible due to some instability and low level
moisture in place. Temperatures will be warmer, with highs in the
upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  60  85  61  84 /  20   5   5  20
San Angelo  63  84  63  84 /  30  20  10  40
Junction  66  81  63  83 /  60  30  30  40
Brownwood  63  83  62  83 /  30  10  10  30
Sweetwater  61  84  62  84 /  10   5   5  20
Ozona       64  83  62  82 /  40  20  20  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

26/99/99



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