Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 232238
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
538 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...

See 00Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in a very dry AMS.
Latest sfc obs show the cold front has made it thru all terminals
but KFST/KPEQ. Post-frontal winds should stay gusty overnight,
veering a little and relaxing after sunrise Tue.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 227 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:15 PM CDT Monday...satl imagery shows nary a
cloud in the CWA. Radar and sfc obs show a cold front moving
SSW...just passed thru Lubbock in the past hour with gusty NE
winds. Interesting to see post-frontal gravity waves on radar.

Dry weather is in store for the CWA for at least the next week. A
dry cold front will move thru the CWA mid/late this aftn in the
north...moving thru the remainder of the CWA overnight. Winds will
be gusty post frontal...with strong gap winds thru Guadalupe Pass.
Therefore...have not changed the High Wind Warning for the Pass
for tonight thru Tuesday morning.

Ridging will amplify in the Western US in response to a deep trof
in the Eastern US and another deep trof in the Pacific around
160W. This will result in a dry northwest flow aloft with dry
cold fronts this aftn/night and another one Thursday
night/Friday. Temps will be a little cooler than normal on Tuesday
(normal high for MAF is 73). Temps will warm to well above normal
on Thursday with thermal ridging over the area and compressional
heating ahead of the next cold front. This cold front will usher
in much colder air Thursday night/Friday. It`s still early but
winds could be strong thru Guadalupe Pass late Thursday
night/Friday. This is not reflected in the grids...yet but future
model runs will add some clarity. Temps will begin a warming trend
Saturday thru early next week.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     47  69  44  75 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       45  68  44  75 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         55  74  48  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  49  69  46  76 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 45  58  45  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          43  65  43  72 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          43  64  39  69 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           48  69  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         48  69  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           50  70  46  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning from 9 PM this evening to noon MDT Tuesday for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

44/12/44



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