Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
341
FXUS64 KLZK 301154 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
655 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.Aviation...

Low clouds and subsequent IFR conditions continue at the terminals
that received precipitation yesterday but VFR conditions will return
by mid to late morning. Otherwise, another round of scattered,
mainly late day through early evening convection is expected as a
weak upper level impulse moves through. Convection is expected to
dissipate after sunset with low clouds expected once again around
sunrise. The area remains under the influence of upper level high
pressure resulting in light southerly winds.
&&

.Short Term...Today through Sunday night

Not a lot of value added changes will be forth coming this morning
as new models are not showing any real variations from previous
thinking. Basically, unsettled conditions this weekend will be on
the decrease as upper level ridging is set to build back in over the
area.

Upper level ridging remains over the four corners with downstream
troughing over the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys. On the surface a quasi
stationary boundary remains stretched out across the northern part
of the state. Several weak impulses are still expected to move
through the prevailing northwest flow with a continuing chance of
mainly diurnally driven convection. Air mass remains choked with
moisture with PWATS at or above 2 inches so locally heavy rain
remains a concern.

Precipitation chances will begin to decrease Sunday night and into
the extended period as the aforementioned frontal boundary finally
starts to lift to the north and the upper ridge begins to expand over
the area.
&&

.Long Term...Monday Night through Friday
A ridge of high pressure will build over the region through much
of the period. Under the ridge, it will definitely feel like summer.
Above average temperatures are expected, with afternoon heat index
values from 100 to 105 degrees. Indices will briefly exceed 105
degrees in places. Any precipitation will be isolated to scattered,
and mainly during the heat of the afternoon and early evening.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     89  72  91  74 /  40  30  40  20
Camden AR         93  76  95  75 /  50  20  30  10
Harrison AR       86  70  89  72 /  40  40  40  20
Hot Springs AR    91  76  94  75 /  50  30  30  20
Little Rock   AR  92  75  94  76 /  50  30  30  20
Monticello AR     92  76  94  76 /  50  20  30  20
Mount Ida AR      91  74  93  74 /  50  30  30  10
Mountain Home AR  87  70  89  72 /  40  30  40  20
Newport AR        89  73  91  74 /  40  30  40  20
Pine Bluff AR     91  74  93  74 /  50  20  40  20
Russellville AR   90  74  94  74 /  50  30  40  20
Searcy AR         90  73  93  74 /  50  30  40  20
Stuttgart AR      91  74  93  76 /  50  30  40  20
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...56 / Long Term...46



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.