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000
FNUS73 KDLH 260910
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Wanless Farm...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
410 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 26.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

A low pressure system approaching from the southwest today will
lead to rapidly changing conditions through the day. Cloud cover
will initially be partly cloudy this morning with high ceilings
around 25,000 ft. Cloud cover will continue to increase through
the morning with mostly cloudy conditions by 10AM with ceilings
dropping to 10,000 ft.

At ignition time, ventilation rates will be poor as an inversion
remains in place. This will quickly improve to good by 9AM but
will also allow for gusty southeast winds to mix down with gusts
in excess of 25 mph. Wind speeds will only increase through the
day as the Low continues its approach. Chances for light rain
showers begin in the early afternoon around 2PM and will see
increasing chances through the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Rain showers
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 31
                    mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph shifting to the southeast 23
                    to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6600-23300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (33700-53300 knot-ft) in the late morning
                    and afternoon, then decreasing to good (30700
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  30  40  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  40  42  46  47  48  49  50  50  49  48
RH..............59  52  48  42  42  42  42  41  41  42  44
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  16  17  18  18  18  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.16  20  23  27  28  27  27  27  28  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  21  23  24  23  25  25  26  25  23  24
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10007   23  34  41  41  49  50  53  48  34  31

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the evening, then rain showers in the
                    late evening and overnight. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 31
                    mph in the evening and overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6900-21600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.20 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     70     80     90     90     90
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............48     44     42     41     41     40
RH..............46     60     76     85     89     96
20 ft wind......SE 17  SE 17  SE 16  E 15   E 13   E 11
20 ft wind gust.28     27     25     23     21     19
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   800    800    600    600    600
Transport wind..SE 22  SE 20  SE 20  SE 18  E 16   E 15
Haines index....4      2      2      2      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100022     13     13     10     8      8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Rain
                    showers through the day.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1000, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the north
                    10 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 14 mph shifting to the north 13 to
                    22 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the northwest around 23 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5900-25700 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (29800-34900 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.45 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).100    100    90     90     90     90
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1
Temp............41     43     46     48     49     48
RH..............92     93     93     86     83     80
20 ft wind......E 11   E 11   NE 10  NE 10  N 11   N 12
20 ft wind gust.18     18     18     16     16     19
Mix hgt (ft)....600    600    700    1200   1600   1600
Transport wind..E 14   E 13   E 12   N 13   NW 18  NW 23
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10007      7      6      13     26     33

$$
Forecaster...Lee
Requested by...Isaac Heruth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412504.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL isaac.heruth@usda.gov