Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KAMA 022300 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
600 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.AVIATION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BACK SOME THIS EVENING AND THEN THEY WILL VEER
BY SUNRISE. WINDS WILL THEN PICK UP AND GET GUSTY BY LATE MORNING.
SKIES WILL REMAIN VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WILL BE DEEP RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES. BUILDING
MID LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL
BE COINCIDENT WITH AN INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN AS A
WEST COAST UPPER LOW EVOLVES WITH TIME. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN
THESE TWO FEATURES WILL RESULT IN A NORTHWARD FLOW OF DEEP MOISTURE
INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST REGION. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS FAR EAST AS THE NEW MEXICO MOUNTAINS WITH THE
MAIN SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACT FOR US BEING PERIODS OF CIRRUS AT LEAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SOME OF THE CONVECTION MAY MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA BUT BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL ARRIVE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND ESPECIALLY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY WEAKENS.
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR FLOW ALOFT WILL EVENTUALLY
BECOME WEST-NORTHWESTERLY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS RIDGE FLATTENS AND
WEAKENS AND THAT PATTERN SHOULD RESULT IN MOUNTAIN CONVECTION AND
POSSIBLE MCS ACTIVITY TO TRAVERSE AT LEAST THE NORTHERN SECTION OF
THE AREA.

BRB

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

16/15




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.