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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 041555
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 AM MST WED MAR 04 2015

.SYNOPSIS....HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED
STATES OVER THE COMING DAYS. FOR TODAY...LINGERING MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER FAR EASTERN ARIZONA.
OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND FAIR WEATHER
AREA WIDE THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH NO UPDATES TO THE
CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
ARIZONA AND INTO NEW MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH A
NORTHEAST FLOW PATTERN SETTING UP ACROSS THE AREA. THE NORTHEAST
FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOL SIDE FROM 6-12 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL HIT CLOSE
TO NORMAL VALUES BY FRIDAY AND THEN ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING.

BY NEXT WEEK...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
BUILD RIGHT OVER THE SOUTHWEST WITH WARM AND DRY SPRING LIKE
CONDITIONS. THE FORECAST FOR THE 2ND HALF OF NEXT WEEK MAY GO INTO
ANOTHER UNSETTLED PATTERN...WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING
OVER THE WEST...WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE HOW THIS WEATHER
PATTERN UNFOLDS FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD
OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCCOLLUM/TC
AVIATION.......KD/MS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF