Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 272250

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
350 PM MST SAT AUG 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A low pressure center drifting eastward over northern
Arizona will bring cooler than normal daytime temperatures,
showers, and thunderstorms through Sunday. A drying and warming
trend is expected on Monday before increasing moisture and storm
chances return mid week.


.DISCUSSION...A low pressure center over far northern Arizona is
slowly moving east. This is interacting with monsoon moisture
already in place. Isolated to scattered storms will continue
through the night tonight as this low provides additoinal lift
once the surface cools. Sunday is expected to be an active day as

The low moves into New Mexico on Monday and a drier southwest
flow develops in the wake of the low. Apache County will continue
to have enough moisture for scattered storms on Monday. By
Tuesday, moisture over Sonora and New Mexico will begin to move
back over northern Arizona. Current model trends indicate that
moisture will move back over much of northern Arizona by


.AVIATION...Expect isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA with MVFR/IFR
conditions likely under the stronger storms. After 18Z, SHRA/TSRA
will increase in coverage. Aviation discussion not updated for
TAF amendments.






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