Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 012301
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
601 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.AVIATION...
UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS S AR/NW LA AND NE TX
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. STILL DEALING WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE TYR/GGG TERMINALS AS WELL
AS THE MLU TERMINAL LATE THIS EVENING. MAY HAVE TO HIT THESE WITH
VCTS AND A SMALL TEMPO GROUP BUT SHOULD SEE CONVECTION BEGIN TO
DISSIPATE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER THIS EVENING. WHAT IS
LEFT OVER IS PLENTIFUL MID AND HIGH CLOUD COVER IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH.

EXCEPT FOR SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING AROUND THE LFK
TERMINAL...EXPECT TO SEE VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. WE WILL BE
DEALING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ONCE AGAIN...PERHAPS AS
EARLY AS MID MORNING AT THE LFK TERMINAL WITH RANDOM DEVELOPMENT
FURTHER NORTH TOWARDS THE I-20 TERMINALS AND NORTH CLOSER TO MID
DAY INTO THE AFTN ON WED.

&&

13

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 205 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS DEEPENED SUBSTANTIALLY TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW
HAS PIVOTED INTO SE TX...TAPPING INTO RICHER GULF MOISTURE.
SCATTERED RW/ISOLD TSTMS HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE NORTH OF THE EAST TX
LAKES AND WILL LEAVE IN LOW POPS FOR MOST OF REGION SOUTH OF I-30
THRU THE EARLY EVE HOURS. THIS SIMILAR PATTERN MAY CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AROUND THIS NEAR STNRY UPPER LOW.
HOWEVER...SOME INCREASED INDICATIONS OF LOW DROPPING SOUTH INTO
NORTHERN GULF BY WEEKEND MAY SHIFT CONVECTION FURTHER SOUTH WITH
590 UPPER RIDGING OVER AREA. AFTN TEMPS INTO THE LOWER TO MID
90S...COULD THEREFORE CREEP BACK INTO THE UPPER 90S UNDER THIS
SCENARIO. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  73  92  74  95 /  20  30  30  20
MLU  74  94  73  96 /  20  30  30  20
DEQ  69  93  70  96 /  10  20  20  10
TXK  71  94  73  97 /  20  20  20  10
ELD  72  94  73  95 /  20  30  30  20
TYR  73  91  73  96 /  20  30  30  10
GGG  72  91  73  94 /  20  30  30  20
LFK  71  90  72  94 /  30  40  30  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

VII/13


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