Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 280051
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
751 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.AVIATION...
MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys to return to the region overnight, as low
level moisture increases ahead of an approaching trof. Improvement
is expected at most sites 17-21Z, with vrbl winds overnight
increasing out of the se at 8-12 kts by mid morning. Otherwise,
ongoing isold convection over central LA not expected to affect
any terminals. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 225 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms moving east across
north Louisiana this afternoon ahead of a frontal boundary from
Tyler to near De Queen. Frontal boundary to linger along the
interstate 20 corridor through Tuesday night before lifting up as
a warm front. Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible in
vicinity of the front as it lingers across the area.

A large upper trough over the Texas panhandle will support strong
to severe thunderstorms across the east Texas and southeast
Oklahoma on Wednesday afternoon. Storms to shift east across
Arkansas and Louisiana during the evening hours. An enhanced risk
of severe weather is posted across much of the heart of the
Arklatex with a slight risk of severe weather along and southeast
of a line from El Dorado to Lufkin. Tornadoes, hail, and damaging
winds are all possible with these storms.

Lingering precipitation expected across the region on Thursday
morning with dry air advection following a cold front bringing
gradual clearing from the west through the afternoon.

Surface and upper-ridge to build across the region, maintaining
dry conditions through Saturday. However, another storm system to
bring heavy rain and a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms
late in the weekend.

Temperatures throughout the forecast period to range from highs in
the lower 80s through Wednesday and mid to upper 70s through the
remainder of the week into the weekend. Otherwise, low
temperatures in the 50s forecast through the forecast period.
/05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  64  84  66  83 /  20  20  20  50
MLU  64  82  64  84 /  30  20  10  20
DEQ  51  76  62  75 /   0  10  30  80
TXK  56  78  64  78 /  10  20  30  70
ELD  59  79  63  82 /  20  20  20  30
TYR  62  83  68  78 /  10  20  30  80
GGG  63  83  68  79 /  20  20  20  80
LFK  67  86  69  82 /  30  20  20  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12



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