Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 302352
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
652 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level low continues to rotate eastward along the KS/OK
border late this afternoon and evening, and will begin to lift
northeast later tonight with scattered showers diminishing. Strong
winds will decrease some after sunset but could still see gusts
of 20 to 30 mph through morning behind the low. A few adjustments
to precipitation trends and winds, otherwise, forecast appears to
be on track this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 634 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Scattered showers will persist into the mid evening hours with low
VFR to MVFR ceilings prevailing across NE OK and NW AR sites
through much of the overnight hours. Clearing skies tomorrow with
continued gusty winds.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 257 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Deep upper cyclone was spinning along the KS/OK border with
isolated cold-core showers impacting parts of northeast OK. This
activity will gradually diminish by early evening as the upper low
pulls away. Will maintain going wind advisory...with gusty
southwest winds diminishing some by mid-late evening.

Warmer conditions expected into Monday...with mostly sunny skies
and a bit of a westerly breeze. A frontal boundary will take shape
on Tuesday...stretching from southwestern OK into northwest AR. A
band of elevated showers/thunderstorms is expected to develop
Tuesday night mainly along and north of the front as a fast moving
upper trof drops into the area. This activity is expected to swing
east of the region by Wednesday as the upper trof axis passes
through. Rainfall amounts don`t appear to be overly
excessive...but a few spots could get another inch or so.

The remainder of the week and into next week is looking warmer
and dry...with northwesterly upper flow being replaced by mid-
level ridging.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  72  49  76 /  30   0   0  10
FSM   46  72  49  81 /  10   0   0  10
MLC   44  74  51  80 /  10   0   0  10
BVO   42  70  46  74 /  40   0   0  10
FYV   40  67  47  75 /  20   0   0  10
BYV   42  64  50  74 /  20  10   0  10
MKO   43  71  50  77 /  20   0   0  10
MIO   41  66  46  73 /  40   0   0  10
F10   44  72  50  77 /  20   0   0  10
HHW   44  75  52  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....18
AVIATION...07



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