Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 081738
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1138 AM CST Thu Dec 8 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions with mostly clear to scattered high level clouds
and northerly winds are forecast to be common across much of
Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas through tonight. During
the morning Friday...winds should begin to shift more out of the
east across the CWA with some possible mid clouds over Northeast
Oklahoma.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 936 AM CST Thu Dec 8 2016/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure continued to build across the Central and
Southern Plains this morning in the wake of the mid/upper level
trof axis that moved through the Plains yesterday. This allowed
for north to northwesterly winds to transport a much colder
airmass over Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas with
temperatures in the 20s for most locations in the CWA at mid
morning.

Through this afternoon...scattered cirrus/cirro-stratus clouds
should remain common across much of the region with continued
northerly winds as surface high moves over the Southern Plains. In
response...much below seasonal average temperatures with highs in
the low 30s near the Kansas border and far Northwest Arkansas to
the upper 30s near the Red River are forecast this afternoon.
Thus...for the morning update have added minor tweaks to hourly
sky/temp/dewpoint/wind grids based on latest trends.
Otherwise...the ongoing forecast seems to be in good shape at this
time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   33  15  36  25 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   38  19  39  24 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   35  15  39  26 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   32  10  33  20 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   31  12  36  18 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   31  14  33  20 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   34  15  37  23 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   30  12  33  20 /   0   0   0   0
F10   34  14  37  25 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   39  20  42  25 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20


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