Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 312016
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
316 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON WAS LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG I-85.
DEWPOINTS HAD DROPPED INTO THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S IN THE
NORTH...SUPPRESSING CONVECTION THERE. WILL HAVE TO WATCH
PROGRESSION OF SHOWERS AND STORMS JUST ACROSS THE STATE LINE FROM
AUBURN...AND MAY NEED TO MAKE A LAST MINUTE INCREASE IN POPS THERE
FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WILL BE SIMILAR.
POPS WILL REMAIN LIMITED TO THE FAR SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. NOT UNTIL WE
GET TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WHEN THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES
MORE SOUTHERLY...DO WE GET BACK TO MORE TYPICAL MID-SUMMER RAIN
CHANCES.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A DRIER AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES EXCEPT
TOI THROUGH THE PERIOD. AT TOI...HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND A NEARBY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TSRA THIS AFTERNOON.
HAVE INCLUDED VCTS AT TOI AND WILL AMEND AS NECESSARY. THIS WILL
ALSO LEAD TO MVFR BR DEVELOPING AT TOI OVERNIGHT. FOR THE NORTHERN
SITES...WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 15-20 KTS OUT OF THE NORTH TO NNE
THIS AFTERNOON.

32/DAVIS


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RAIN CHANCES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. OTHERWISE...SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     64  92  65  93  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    65  92  67  92  70 /   0  10   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  67  92  69  93  72 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  67  95  69  96  72 /   0   0   0   0  10
CALERA      65  92  67  93  71 /   0   0   0   0  10
AUBURN      70  90  70  92  73 /  10  20  20  10  10
MONTGOMERY  72  94  72  95  73 /  10  10  10  10  10
TROY        71  92  71  93  73 /  20  30  20  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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