Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 220056
SWODY1
SPC AC 220055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

VALID 220100Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER
PARTS OF FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.

...SOUTHEAST U.S....
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND RESULTING IN AMPLIFICATION OF THE CENTRAL
CONUS TROUGH. SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTHEAST U.S. TONIGHT AS THIS AMPLIFICATION
OCCURS AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TO OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL BEGIN TO LIFT
NORTHWARD LATE TONIGHT. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION
ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN FLORIDA NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY
HAVE LIMITED DESTABILIZATION WITH MUCAPE GENERALLY AT OR BELOW 300
J/KG. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT.

AS THE CENTRAL GULF SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST...THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
EASTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TONIGHT WITHIN A MOIST
ENVIRONMENT /PW IN EXCESS OF 1.75 INCHES/ AND MOVE TOWARDS THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THESE
STORMS...WHICH MAY BE LOOSELY ORGANIZED OFFSHORE...WILL TEND TO
WEAKEN WITH EASTWARD EXTENT AND THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN NO SEVERE
PROBABILITIES WITH THIS OUTLOOK.

..BUNTING.. 12/22/2014




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