Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 030203
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
903 PM EST MON MAR 2 2015

.UPDATE...A FEW LONE SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS...NOW MOVING ONSHORE AND AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BROWARD
COUNTY. THESE SHOWERS COULD ALSO MOVE ONSHORE THE MIAMI-DADE
COUNTY COAST. AS SUCH, HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO
THESE AREAS. PW ON THE MIAMI SOUNDING IS ONLY AT 0.95
INCHES, SO NOT MUCH MOISTURE...BUT JUST ENOUGH IN THE LOWER LEVELS
TO SQUEEZE OUT A FEW SHOWERS ON THE ENE WIND FLOW. ASIDE FROM
THIS, A TRANQUIL NIGHT IS EXPECTED WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
/GREGORIA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 639 PM EST MON MAR 2 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL EAST COAST TAF SITES. FOG AND/OR LOW
CIGS POSSIBLE AT KAPF LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ENE WINDS
5-10 KNOTS DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KNOTS OR LESS LATE. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ON TUESDAY AND ESE WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS
WILL PREVAIL.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM EST MON MAR 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...

THE MAJOR SYNOPTIC FEATURES ACROSS THE REGION INCLUDE A STATIONARY
FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND A LARGE AMPLITUDE MID TO UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS MAINTAINING A LOCALLY STABLE
ATMOSPHERE AND STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

FOG IS EXPECTED EARLY TUESDAY MORNING MAINLY IN THE WESTERN INTERIOR
AND WEST OF THE LAKE WITH PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG FORECAST.
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY
SOMETIME EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THE BOUNDARY MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO STAY NORTH OF SOUTH FLORIDA WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND STABLE
WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAILING. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION WITH UNSEASONABLY WARMER TEMPERATURES
PREVAILING. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND NAPLES
METRO AREAS COULD REACH NEAR 80 TO THE LOWER 80S DURING THIS
PERIOD. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY WITH
MAX AND MIN TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO INCREASE FURTHER A FEW
DEGREES AS THE REGIONAL WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.

FOR FRIDAY AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IS FORECAST AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE EXTENDED GUIDANCE IS SOMEWHAT INCONSISTENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE FRONT ENTERING SOUTH FLORIDA LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE HOW THIS SCENARIO DEVELOPS
IN THE GUIDANCE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MARINE...

WINDS AND SEAS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL CRITERIA
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO NEAR ADVISORY
LEVELS IN PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS IN THE EXTENDED GUIDANCE
LATE FRIDAY INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  69  82  70  83 /  10  10   0   0
FORT LAUDERDALE  70  79  72  80 /  20  10   0   0
MIAMI            69  82  70  82 /  20  10   0   0
NAPLES           65  83  65  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


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