Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 230416
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1116 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

At 00z this evening, a cold front was located near the Mississippi
River, and moving east. Expect front to be near the Tennessee
River at 06z, then reach the I-65 corridor at around 09z and the
Cumberland Plateau by 12z. Showers, that were over western
Middle Tennessee this evening, will advance eastward overnight,
with additional showers feeding northward out of Alabama.

Have adjusted grids to fit more closely with current trends, which
amounted to mainly adjusting dew points up a bit in the rainy
areas and going with a slightly slower movement of the cold front
overnight.

Current overnight PoPs still look pretty reasonable and don`t see
much reason to make any changes in that department. Believe the
possibility of thunder overnight is slim-to-nil. So, will go ahead
and pull out the slight chance for thunder we had running in the
west for this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...A line of moderate to heavy showers has
developed right along the surface cold front that has finally
edged into Middle Tennessee. Look for deteriorating ceilings and
reduced visibilities overnight due to significant rainfall, with
conditions improving from west to east as drier air fills in
behind the front during the day tomorrow.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........08



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