Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 301731
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1231 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for 18Z aviation forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...

Quiet aviation conditions through the period. VFR conditions are
anticipated throughout. A moderate breeze this afternoon will
relax by evening with light and variable winds overnight.
Southerly flow develops Monday with gusts by mid-day.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 605 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

DISCUSSION...

See aviation discussion below for the 12Z TAF`s.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. OVC cigs are
ranging from 11,000 to 6,000 feet. Skies are expected to become
clear by mid morning. NW sfc winds have currently relaxed, but
are expected to increase slightly by mid morning. A light and vrb
flow is expected by late afternoon into early evening.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 356 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

SHORT TERM (Today through Monday)...

A few lingering showers continue across mainly the northern CWA and
over the waters this morning. Drier and cooler conditions will
continue to filter into S TX through the morning hours with skies
clearing from west to east. Per MSAS analysis, another surge of high
pressure will build into the area later this morning, however winds
should not be nearly as strong as what was seen earlier behind the
frontal bdry. Breezy conditiions are expected through mid morning
then diminishing through the day. Winds across the marine areas will
remain strong through the morning then slowly diminish from east to
west through the afternoon. However, seas will remain at advisory
levels into the evening hours. A light onshore flow is expected by
tonight as the surface high quickly moves east. A gradual warming
trend will take place Mon along with increasing low level moisture.

LONG TERM (Monday Night through Saturday)...

A warming trend is expected Tue through Wed along with an increasing
chance of convection. Another upper level system and associated cold
front are progged to move through S TX Wed night with drier and
cooler conditions by Thu. Small Craft Advisory conditions are
expected once again Thu behind the front. A gradual warming trend is
expected through the latter half of the week into next Sat. Precip
is not expected Thur night through Sat.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    58  86  67  86  75  /   0   0  10  10  20
Victoria          54  86  63  86  72  /   0   0   0  20  30
Laredo            58  92  66  93  73  /   0   0   0   0  10
Alice             55  89  64  90  73  /   0   0  10  10  10
Rockport          61  82  71  82  76  /   0   0   0  20  30
Cotulla           54  92  63  93  71  /   0   0   0   0  10
Kingsville        57  88  65  88  74  /   0   0  10  10  20
Navy Corpus       63  81  72  84  76  /   0   0  10  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening For the
     following zones: Aransas...Calhoun...Kleberg...Nueces.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon For the
     following zones: Aransas...Calhoun...Kleberg...Nueces.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening For the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port
     Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to
     Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay
     to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas
     to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION



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