Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 250857
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
357 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

.SHORT TERM (Today through Tuesday)...

Moisture will be on the climb today through Tuesday as a upper
level low/inverted trough moves west across the northern gulf.
Temperatures in the midlevels cool with an overall weakening cap.
A slightly more active sea breeze is expected today, with
activity possibly move into the western Brush Country along the
boundary. Maintained higher chance pops across the Victoria
Crossroads and northern Coastal Bend mainly due to proximity of
the main weather system. Better chances head into tonight into
Tuesday as the upper low approaches the Texas coast. Warm H85
temps will continue to warm temperatures into the 90s across the
majority of S TX with near 103F temps across the western Brush
Country. This will continue Special Weather Statements for Heat
Index values of 105 to 109 across much of South Texas for this
afternoon and early evening. With a general easterly flow and
increase in moisture as well as cloud coverage, afternoon
temperatures will gradually decrease slightly through the short
term compared to this past weekend. Severe weather is not expected
due to lack of strong mid/upper level support, although a few
strong storms can not be ruled out.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday Night through Sunday)...

Copious moisture (2-2.25 inch pwat) will be in place early in the
period.  Weak upper low overhead will provide lower heights and a
little lift so still expect decent cvrg shra/tsra through Wed.  Best
chances will remain in the deepest mstr over the Victoria Crossroads
with rain chances tapering heading west.  Clouds and precip should
keep temperatures down around or just below seasonal norms.

Moisture will decrease a bit through the rest of the period but
remain deep enough that diurnal (morning over the water/afternoon
inland) shra/tsra will remain possible.  Highs look to be at or just
above seasonal norms through the rest of the week into the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    95  78  93  79  93  /  30  20  50  20  30
Victoria          95  76  92  77  92  /  50  30  60  30  50
Laredo           102  79  98  79 102  /  10  20  30  20  20
Alice             99  76  95  77  96  /  30  20  40  20  30
Rockport          93  80  89  80  89  /  30  30  60  30  40
Cotulla          103  77  97  77  98  /  10  20  40  20  30
Kingsville        98  78  95  78  95  /  30  20  40  20  30
Navy Corpus       91  79  88  81  88  /  20  20  50  30  40

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM
TJ/70...LONG TERM


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