Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 271419
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
919 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

.UPDATE...

THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN CU IS EXPECTED IN A MOIST
LAYER NEAR 850MB. OTHERWISE...A DRY DAY WITH SUNSHINE IS
ANTICIPATED WITH TEMPERATURES MODERATING...BUT REMAINING BELOW
AVERAGE. WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS MORNING AND BECOME GUSTY...AS THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE MIXES. MORNING SOUNDING INDICATES STRONGER WINDS
ABOVE THE SURFACE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE GUSTY WINDS TODAY.

&&

.AVIATION...

WILL DROP THE MENTION OF LLWS SOON...AS THE POTENTIAL DECREASES
WITH LOWER ATMOSPHERIC MIXING. OTHERWISE...EXPECTING VFR
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. A MOIST LAYER WAS PRESENT ON THE
MORNING SOUNDING BETWEEN 4000-6000 FT...SO ANTICIPATE CU TO BEGIN
DEVELOPMENT IN THE LOWER END OF THAT RANGE...AND LIFT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DECREASE...AS LOW PRESSURE PULLS AWAY
TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE WEST. HAVE
LOWERED THE GALE WARNING TO A SMALL CRAFT OVER THE OUTER
WATERS...AND CARRIED THAT THROUGH TONIGHT...AND EXTENDED
NEARSHORE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN
TONIGHT...THEN OVERHEAD FOR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  56  33  53  32 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  55  38  50  39 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  60  36  53  36 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  61  41  52  42 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  63  37  57  34 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  63  38  59  36 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM-WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL
     OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER
     BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

STRUBLE


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