Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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707
FXUS64 KOUN 281901
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
201 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Will keep this relatively short as things will start getting busy
this afternoon. Expect marginal severe weather with the storms
over northwestern Oklahoma this afternoon, but the main show is
beginning to develop in west Texas and will move toward our
southwestern zones. Much higher surface dewpoints are moving
west-northwest through the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex and toward
our southwestern zones allow surface moisture to increase ahead of
the arrival of the storms. Severe storms will be likely with
storms tonight. Although with time this evening, the convection
is expected to evolve toward a linear or QLCS configuration,
airmass would definitely support some supercells this afternoon
and early evening. Strong forcing associated with the approaching
upper wave will create widespread storms tonight, so continue with
categorical POPs and the chance of locally heavy rainfall.
Precipitation chances continue tomorrow as the upper low slowly
moves over the area. Expect cooler air and a break in storm
chances Thursday/Friday before the next in a series of upper lows
approaches.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  59  74  47  59 /  90  50  30  20
Hobart OK         56  69  45  63 /  80  40  20  10
Wichita Falls TX  57  77  48  67 /  90  20  20  10
Gage OK           49  57  40  62 /  80  70  40  10
Ponca City OK     58  72  47  57 /  80  80  40  20
Durant OK         62  76  51  64 /  90  60  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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