Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 200041
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
641 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

.AVIATION...
Conditions to gradually deteriorate across the region as an upper
level disturbance moves across TX. Shwrs/tstms will move into the
E TX terminals prior to sunrise and will slowly spread ewd
throughout the day. MVFR cigs/vsbys will prevail as convection
spreads, with some lower categories possible under heavier
convection. Otherwise, expect sely winds 5-10 kts overnight,
becoming more sly after sunrise Monday. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 247 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Clouds diminishing across much of the region as low-level
moisture mixes with drier air aloft. Temperatures across the
region currently ranging from the mid 60s across southeast
Oklahoma to the lower 80s across portions of deep east Texas.

Surface boundary across central Texas combined with upper-trough
across west Texas to shift east overnight allowing for increasing
rain chances across east Texas and southeast Oklahoma. Locally
heavy rainfall may be possible from midnight tonight through noon
on Monday. However, overall rainfall totals will average around an
inch with isolated higher amounts of around three inches. With
flash flood guidance values averaging from 2.5 inches per hour to
4.5 inches in 6 hours, the threat of flash flooding across the
ArkLaTex remains low.

Conditions to gradually improve on Monday afternoon with showers
and isolated thunderstorms progressing east into northeast
Louisiana and south-central Arkansas before exiting the region.

Dry conditions to persist through the remainder of the forecast
period.

High temperatures to average in the 70s with lows in the 50s
through the middle of the workweek. Could see highs approaching
80 by Wednesday ahead of a dry cold front that will usher in a
reinforcement of cool air for the weekend. Expect temps ranging
from highs in the 60s to lows in the 40s through the weekend. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  73  59  73 /  30  70  60  30
MLU  58  77  60  72 /  10  30  70  40
DEQ  61  69  53  75 /  50  90  40  10
TXK  64  70  57  73 /  30  80  50  20
ELD  60  74  58  73 /  10  50  70  30
TYR  64  70  55  74 /  80 100  30  10
GGG  66  70  57  74 /  50  90  40  20
LFK  67  71  59  75 /  50  90  50  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12


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