Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 051934
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
234 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
STG DEEP NW FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES AS AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE PARKED
OVER WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. FAIRLY STATIC PATTERN ALSO AT THE SFC
WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING...AFTN HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO REACH
AROUND 80 THRU FRIDAY...AND CREEP UPWARD TO LOWER TO MID 80S DURG
WKND. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN 50S WILL ALSO RISE INTO 60S BY WKND AS
SOUTHERLY FLOW BEGINS. AS STG UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS
PLAINS SUNDAY...ISOLD TSTMS LATE IN DAY POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE
I-30 CORRIDOR...SPEADING ACROSS AREA BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THE DAY MONDAY...WITH CONVECTION POSSIBLY INCREASING TO WIDESPREAD
IN COVERAGE. AS THIS TROUGH EXITS TO THE NE ON TUE...LOOK FOR MORE
ISOLD AIRMASS TYPE DIURNAL CONVECTION WITH MARGINAL MOISTURE AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES...WITH TSTMS POSSIBLY ON THE INCREASE BY
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 05/18Z TAF PERIOD...AS
SKC WILL PREVAIL. SFC RIDGING WILL BUILD S INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH NNW WINDS 6-10KTS THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMING LT N OR LT/VRB AFTER 00Z. /15/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1100 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WITH SUNNY SKIES DUE TO A VERY DRY AIRMASS AT ALL LVLS..LGT NORTH
WIND...EXPECTING TEMPS TO RISE AT LEAST AS FAST...OR SLIGHTLY MORE
SO...THAN YESTERDAY. WITH 10 AM TEMPS IN UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S...EXPECT HIGHS TO REACH NEAR 80 MOST OF THE AREA...AND LOWER
TO MID 80S NE TX. NO OTHER CHANGES NEEDED. /VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  81  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  51  80  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  49  80  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  51  81  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  48  81  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  54  82  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  53  81  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  52  84  57  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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