Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 041155 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
655 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.AVIATION...
ASIDE FROM BRIEF MVFR CIGS THROUGH MID-MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF E
TX/NCNTRL LA S OF I-20...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
04/12Z TAF PERIOD. EXTENSIVE BANDS OF LOW AC WITH CIGS NEAR 12KFT
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF NE TX/SW AR/N LA AND SHOULD
LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE ERODING. OTHERWISE...A
SCT CU FIELD WILL DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE MORNING AREAWIDE...WITH
ISOLATED CONVECTION POSSIBLY DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON OVER
PORTIONS OF E TX/N LA. HOWEVER...LOW CONFIDENCE PRECLUDES MENTION
IN THE TERMINAL FORECAST ATTM...WITH ANY DEVELOPMENT DIMINISHING
THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. ASIDE FROM SOME LINGERING
ELEVATED CU/CIRRUS...WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH LATE...SKC WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. MAY SEE ADDITIONAL
STRATOCU DEVELOP LATE AND POSSIBLY AFFECT PORTIONS OF E TX AFTER
12Z SATURDAY. LT/VRB WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME S 5-8KT THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL AGAIN BECOME LT/VRB AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 425 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SOME MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE
RIDING AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS...WHICH IS CENTERED ACROSS THE
S CNTRL STATES AND EXTENDS WELL NWRD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR A PERSISTENCE FORECAST THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND
WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AND RAIN CHANCES SLIM TO NONE FOR THE
VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION...LEAVING ONLY SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY TO
OFFER SOME RELIEF FROM THE HEAT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS
WILL MAINLY BE THE CASE ACROSS OUR SRN MOST COUNTIES AND PARISHES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN IN THE MID 90S AND POSSIBLY
REACHING THE UPPER 90S FOR SOME AREAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE
UPPER RIDGE FURTHER EXPANDS ACROSS THE REGION.

PERSISTENCE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHEN THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN AND RETROGRADE WITH THE APPROACH
OF A MAJOR SHORT WAVE TROF AND COLD FRONT FROM THE ROCKIES ACROSS
THE PLAINS. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS FRONT IN OUR REGION IS PROGGED FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...INCREASING THE CHANCE FOR SHWRS
AND TSTMS THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AND PROVIDING A HINT OF
FALL AS TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF QUITE NICELY IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  96  74  96  75 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  97  71  97  72 /  20  20  20  10
DEQ  94  70  95  71 /  10  10  10  10
TXK  95  72  96  74 /  10  10  10  10
ELD  96  71  96  72 /  10  10  10  10
TYR  93  74  95  75 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  94  74  95  74 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  94  72  95  73 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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