Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FXUS62 KJAX 061447
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
947 AM EST Tue Dec 6 2016

.UPDATE...
A couple lines of showers and embedded storms were moving across
the region this morning. There remains weak rotation in the
southern line, and an isolated quick spin up cannot be ruled out.
The shortwave trough was moving across the southeast, and the back
end of the showers was moving eastward extending in a line from
roughly Jesup to Live Oak. To the west of the region, dry
conditions should prevail through the afternoon. Showers and
embedded storms are expected to end for the rest of the region by
the mid afternoon. Westerly winds will increase today, and breezy
conditions will prevail this afternoon. Skies should scatter out,
and temperatures will warm into the upper 70s to mid 80s. GFS MOS
06Z guidance has a high of 88 degrees for the Jacksonville area
this afternoon. Stayed below this due to the rainfall and cloud
cover initially, but record high values are possible once again.
The record high for the date at JAX is 83 degrees, and the all-
time record high for the month of December is 85, which was tied
yesterday.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/IFR conditions in showers/storms will continue through the
early afternoon before ending quickly from northwest to southeast.
Conditions will then quickly improve this afternoon, with VFR
conditions prevailing through the TAF period. West to
southwesterly winds will increase to 15-20 knots this afternoon as
the drier air moves into the region. Winds will then diminish this
evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through the afternoon for
the offshore waters beyond 20 nm for winds of 20-25 knots and seas
of 5 to 7 feet.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  80  52  69  49 / 100   0   0  10
SSI  83  57  67  54 /  60   0   0   0
JAX  86  54  71  51 /  90   0   0   0
SGJ  85  53  70  51 /  90  10   0   0
GNV  81  52  73  49 / 100   0   0   0
OCF  80  54  74  50 /  80  10   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for Waters
     from Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from
     20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Kennedy/Nelson/Walker


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