Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 211959
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
359 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather will continue across eastern Kentucky
through Sunday, but a soaking rainfall is on the way as a strong
cold front approaches and moves through the area late Sunday night
through Monday night. Most locations will see between an inch and
an inch and a half of rainfall. Scattered showers will linger through
the middle of next week, with much cooler air following the cold
front.

KYZ068-079-083-084-221100-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
359 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 80-90 percent on ridges.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................43 decreasing to 5 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....43.
Vent Rate...........Fair (43000 knot-ft).
ADI.................22 increasing to 44 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy with showers
                    likely.
Min Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.32 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....38.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (37500 knot-ft).
ADI.................18 increasing to 31 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........1.01 - 1.41 inches.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-221100-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
359 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 80-90 percent on ridges.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 5 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........33-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....41.
Vent Rate...........Fair (41400 knot-ft).
ADI.................22 increasing to 44 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................40 decreasing to 7 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....24.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24400 knot-ft).
ADI.................22.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.67 - 1.10 inches.

$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-221100-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
359 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 80-90 percent on ridges.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................43 decreasing to 5 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........32-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....42.
Vent Rate...........Fair (41700 knot-ft).
ADI.................22 increasing to 44 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.13 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....33.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (33400 knot-ft).
ADI.................19 increasing to 29 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.51 - 1.34 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening,
then a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy. A slight chance of
showers in the evening. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds around
5 mph in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Milder, sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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