Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 061045
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
645 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...WARMER AND MORE WET WEATHER ON THE WAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGS MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM
MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL LINGER AND CONTINUE THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MOTHERS DAY. AFTER
HIGHS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S TODAY...TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY PEAK IN THE 70S OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BEGIN A
ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER WITH THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
CONTINUING EACH DAY WELL INTO THE NEW WEEK.

KYZ068-079-083-084-062015-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
645 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY VALLEY FOG EARLY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 20
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....163.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (163400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................121.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY VALLEY FOG DEVELOPING
                    TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................95 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY VALLEY FOG EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 70S.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....166.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (166000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................39 INCREASING TO 95 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-062015-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
645 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY VALLEY FOG EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....149.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (148600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................89.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY VALLEY FOG DEVELOPING
                    TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................92 DECREASING TO 5 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....180.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (194900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................28 INCREASING TO 110 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-062015-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
645 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY VALLEY FOG EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....158.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (157800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................89.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY VALLEY FOG DEVELOPING
                    TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................88 DECREASING TO 8 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY VALLEY EARLY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....188.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (194100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................36 INCREASING TO 106 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GREIF



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