Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 292046
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
446 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...An area of low pressure will track to the northwest
of the area through the Plains and into the MS Valley through Monday.
This system will send a cold front across the region late Sunday night
and into Monday and bring a round of showers and thunderstorms to the
region. High pressure will build in behind the front and bring dry
weather from Monday afternoon through midweek, though unsettled
weather will return for the second half of the week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-300845-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
446 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................89 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to 30 to 35 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....177.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (176800 knot-ft).
ADI.................98 increasing to 109 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers in the evening,
                    then numerous showers and thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................87 decreasing to 46 late.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 - 0.53 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. Periods of
                    rain showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 25 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 35 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (221200 knot-ft).
ADI.................52 increasing to 133 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.32 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-300845-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
446 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................67 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny, then becoming partly cloudy with
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms late.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....178.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (178300 knot-ft).
ADI.................109.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Scattered rain showers and
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................95 decreasing to 34 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.30 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly sunny. Numerous
                    rain showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Dispersion Index....188.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (194500 knot-ft).
ADI.................67 increasing to 119 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.19 - 0.33 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-300845-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
446 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................82 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....181.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (180700 knot-ft).
ADI.................115.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................92 decreasing to 32 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.31 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly sunny. Numerous
                    rain showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 30 to 35 mph.
Dispersion Index....151.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (152200 knot-ft).
ADI.................63 increasing to 106 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.16 - 0.36 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
evening. Lows around 50. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
JP



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