Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KGLD 301827
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1227 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

THE UPPER RIDGE IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES
FLATTENS SOMEWHAT AS THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH TOPPING THE RIDGE TODAY
MOVES EAST OF THE ROCKIES AND THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS REGION OVERNIGHT WITH NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTING OVER
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH DEEPENING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA BETWEEN 06Z-12Z. AS A RESULT...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER ON WEDNESDAY THAN ON TUESDAY.

THE GFS IS CONSISTENTLY DEPICTING PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING ALONG
THE FRONT AS IT APPROACHES THE REGION AND MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT.
THE NAM ALSO HINTS AT PRECIPITATION ONLY OVER THE FAR NORTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE THE ECMWF REMAINS DRY. HAVE
TENDED TO FOLLOW THE NAM A BIT MORE CLOSELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO IN THE FORECAST
OVERNIGHT AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO
TRAVEL SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GENERATE PRECIP CHANCES FOR
THE AREA. DRIER AIR THEN MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATER ON
FRIDAY FROM THE NORTH. FOR THE WEEKEND...THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS PROGRESSES EAST AND BRINGS DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE HIGH
PLAINS. THERE ARE HOWEVER SOME PATCHY POPS DUE TO DISTURBANCES
MOVING ALONG THE WEAKENED RIDGE. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG
CLOSED LOW MOVES ACROSS CANADA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE NEXT
ROUND OF PRECIP CHANCES AT THE START OF THE WEEK.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S AT THE BEGINNING OF
THE EXTENDED AND GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE
MOVES EASTWARD...REACHING THE 90S BY SUNDAY BEFORE COOLING OFF A FEW
DEGREES ON MONDAY. LOWS LOOK TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT
THAT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION AFTER 06Z. A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE A PREVAILING CONDITION AT EITHER SITE. A FEW LOWER CLOUDS MAY
ALSO BE OBSERVED AT MCK BETWEEN 10Z-13Z.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...LOCKHART



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.