Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 021154
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
654 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 02/12Z TAFS...PATCHY -DZ/-RA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF N
CNTRL LA EARLY IN THE TAF PERIOD MAINLY S OF I-20 AND E OF I-49.
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION SHOULD AROUND
MIDDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER TROUGH NEAR GALVESTON BAY.
SHWRS/TSTMS SHOULD LARGELY DISSIPATE BY 03/01Z. VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD GENERALLY PREVAIL WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PATCHY FOG AT
KELD...WHICH SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 02/15Z...AND ANOTHER ROUND OF
PATCHY FOG WHICH MAY AFFECT KLFK NEAR THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
/09/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO DEPICT A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW
NEAR GALVESTON BAY THIS MORNING WITH A SHEAR AXIS EXTENDING NWRD
ACROSS DEEP E TX...N LA...AND SE AR. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE
TO BLANKET THESE AREAS WHILE POINTS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-30
CORRIDOR ARE SKC. AS MOISTURE REMAINS QUITE ABUNDANT OVER THE SE
HALF OF THE REGION TODAY...EXPECT SHWRS AND TSTMS TO INCREASE AS
WE MOVE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH THE ADDED INSTABILITY FROM
HEATING. USING PERSISTENCE AS A GUIDE...DO EXPECT CLOUD COVER TO
HOLD DOWN TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY WITH UPPER 80S
AND LOWER 90S EXPECTED.

RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO DROP OFF AS WE HEAD INTO LATE WEEK AND
THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND AS UPPER RIDGING BECOMES MORE INFLUENTIAL IN
OUR WEATHER PATTERN...SENDING TEMPERATURES HIGHER INTO THE MID 90S
AND POSSIBLY EVEN UPPER 90S FOR SOME AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND. SOME
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT BUT IT
WILL BE ISOLATED AT BEST WITH SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY ACROSS MAINLY
OUR SRN ZONES.

RELIEF FROM THE LATE SUMMER HEAT WILL LIKELY HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK WITH AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. THIS WILL ALSO
PROVIDE OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE AT SEEING WIDESPREAD SHWRS AND TSTMS
ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONT...WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY A FEW DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  91  73  95  74 /  30  20  20  10
MLU  93  72  96  73 /  40  20  20  10
DEQ  93  69  94  70 /  20  10  10  10
TXK  93  71  94  73 /  20  20  10  10
ELD  92  70  95  72 /  30  20  20  10
TYR  93  73  94  73 /  20  20  20  10
GGG  93  72  94  73 /  20  20  20  10
LFK  91  71  93  72 /  40  20  30  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09


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