Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 261115
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
515 AM CST FRI DEC 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW TO MID CLOUDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH ABOVE AVERAGE READINGS
THIS MORNING. WE WILL SEE SHOWERS BEGIN TO WORK INTO THE AREA
DURING TODAY WITH AMOUNTS LIGHT THE MOST PART. THE BIG UPPER TROUGH IS
PUSHING EASTWARD ACROSS MEXICO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WITH A CLOSED
LOW AND TROPICAL CONNECTION OF RICH PACIFIC MOISTURE.

THE COVERAGE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL REALLY PICKUP LATE TODAY AND
OVERNIGHT...LINGERING INTO ALL OF SATURDAY WITH INCREASING EMBEDDED
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS. RUMBLES OF THUNDER ALOFT FOR THE MOST
PART...BUT THIS WILL BEAR WATCHING DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE
MAJOR THREAT FOR ANY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL LIKELY BE
GREATEST ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AS THE WINDS SHIFT TO
NORTHWEST DURING MID TO LATE SATURDAY THEN EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND
INTO SUNDAY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SO IT LOOKS LIKE A
SOGGY SITUATION FOR SATURDAY AND MUCH IMPROVED BY SUNDAY WITH A
1024MB PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. WPC IS ABOUT A HALF INCH
NORTH TO MAYBE NEAR TWO INCHES OVER OUR SOUTHEAST BY THE END OF
THE EVENT. WE ARE CLOSE TO MAV AND MEX FORECAST NUMBERS FOR THE
WEEK.

A SECONDARY SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR INVADES DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WITH A 1050 HIGH AND WILL MAKE FOR A CHILLY NEW YEAR. JURY IS
STILL OUT AS FAR AS TIMING AND TYPE OF ANY WEATHER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  57  66  44  53 /  30  70  70  60  30
MLU  60  55  67  47  53 /  20  60  80  70  50
DEQ  57  51  54  34  49 /  30  70  70  20  10
TXK  57  53  57  39  51 /  30  70  70  50  20
ELD  59  54  63  44  50 /  20  60  80  60  40
TYR  62  56  57  36  52 /  30  70  70  30  10
GGG  61  58  59  39  52 /  30  70  70  50  20
LFK  66  61  67  43  53 /  30  70  70  50  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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