Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 291155
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
755 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

.UPDATE...
Morning water vapor satellite imagery is showing
comparatively dry conditions over the central and southern
portions of the Florida Peninsula under a mid level ridge
centered just east of the region, while much higher moisture
is visible over the Panhandle associated with thunderstorms
along a weak front. This front is not forecast to be able to
displace the ridge across the Florida Peninsula, and
generally rain free conditions are expected once again this
afternoon. The main forecast concern will be warm
temperatures, with highs expected to top out in the mid 90s
inland and around 90 near the coast.

The forecast looks on track overall, and no major changes
are needed for the evening update.

&&

.AVIATION...
A few lingering patches of fog will burn off by around 13z.
VFR conditions will then hold through the rest of the day
under rain free conditions and northerly to westerly winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Surface high pressure will continue to ridge from the
Atlantic into the eastern Gulf of Mexico through the next
few days, with light and rather variable winds turning
onshore each afternoon with the sea breeze. Winds and seas
will remain below headline criteria.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  92  76  92  76 /   0   0  10  10
FMY  95  74  93  74 /  10   0  30  20
GIF  97  73  95  73 /   0  10  30  30
SRQ  90  74  90  74 /   0   0  10  10
BKV  93  71  93  70 /   0   0  10  10
SPG  91  77  90  77 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...18/Fleming
UPPER AIR...11/McKaughan
DECISION SUPPORT...14/Mroczka



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