Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 301421
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
921 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

.FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE NORTHERN FORECAST AREA WILL
PUSH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY. FRONT HAS
VERY LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH SO LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED. MAY SEE A BRIEF SPRINKLE THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS AND NATURE COAST...BUT MEASURABLE RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH DRIER SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR
ADVECTING OVER THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NATURE COAST...LOWER TO MID
40S CENTRAL...AND UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50 SOUTH. NOT ANTICIPATING
FROST ACROSS THE NATURE COAST TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR SHOULD PRECLUDE
FROST DEVELOPMENT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS. INCREASING MID-HIGH CLOUDINESS
TODAY AT ALL TERMINALS AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE
REGION...HOWEVER NO RAIN IS EXPECTED.  SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY
CLEAR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK OVER THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ON THE BACK SIDE OF
A DRY COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL
APPROACH SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING THEN
SLIGHTLY DECREASING AND VEERING EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST AROUND 15
KNOTS AND GUSTY ON SUNDAY...THEN VEERING SOUTHERLY ON MONDAY. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THIS FRONT AND INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS ALONG
THE OUTER COASTAL ZONES.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...13/OGLESBY
MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT...02/GARCIA





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