Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 260045
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
845 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.UPDATE...
ONLY BLEMISH TO WHAT IS A CLEAR AND BEAUTIFUL NIGHT ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA IS A LINE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS STREAMING SOUTH OVER THE
GULF STREAM FROM OFFSHORE THE TREASURE COAST AND PALM BEACHES.
N-NE FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD BRING A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS
ONSHORE THE EAST COAST. THE SHOWERS SHOULDN`T AMOUNT TO MORE THAN
A TRACE OR VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATION, AND ADDED A 10% POP TO ACCOUNT
FOR IT. REST OF FORECAST IS ON TRACK. /MOLLEDA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 704 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

AVIATION...VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT BEFORE BECOMING NE NEAR 10 KT EAST COAST
AND NW NEAR 10 KT AT KAPF ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FEW SPRINKLES VERY
LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE WATERS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE AS THEY AREA
MOVING SOUTHWARD. THX CWSU MIAMI FOR COLLABORATION. /GREGORIA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...

THE LATEST GUIDANCE AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW OFF THE GEORGIA COAST AND A SURFACE LOW TO THE EAST OF
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ISLANDS WITH AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. IN ADDITION THERE IS AN
ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS AND
INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF. AS THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD
INTO THE THE EASTERN CONUS AND THE NORTHERN GULF BY SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND REGIONAL WATERS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORCED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS A RESULT
HIGH PRESSURE AND A LOCALLY DRIER AND MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND IS
FORECAST TO LINGER INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK WITH NO
PRECIPITATION FORECAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY.

MARINE...

REGIONAL OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS
ARE SLOWLY SUBSIDING. IN ADDITION THE HAZARDOUS SEAS ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
ATLANTIC WATERS WAS CANCELLED AS OF 18Z. REGIONAL WINDS AND SEAS
ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE DECREASING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND
AND REMAINING WELL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE EARLY PART
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  66  80  69  82 /  10   0  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  69  81  72  83 /  10  10  10  10
MIAMI            68  81  71  83 /  10  10  10  10
NAPLES           62  82  64  84 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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