Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 281200

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
700 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

Issued at 659 AM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016

No change at this update.


.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 354 AM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016

Northwest flow aloft is forecast to be across the area through 84
hours. Water vapor loop indicated quite a few short waves upstream.
Short waves were located over northwest SD, s central ND, southwest
MT, northwest MT, and southwest BC. Most of the short waves are
expected to move south and west of the forecast area.

Some cooling at mid levels and a pocket of moist air at low levels
in the southern Red River Valley may produce clouds and light
showers over the southwest zones for today. Will add low pops
south/southwest for today. Blowoff from precip over central ND was
obscuring lower clouds over the southern Valley on the fog loop.

Surface ridge to move over the area Fri morning with return flow
occurring thereafter.

BC short wave forecast to move across the area Sat. With afternoon
heating, short wave may produce some showers over the Valley.

Low level jet forecast to increase Sat night over ND in response to
upper trough moving into southwest Canada.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 354 AM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016

The extended period starts off as unsettled as a surface system
crosses the area. Southerly flow ahead of the system will see warmer
temperatures and increasing moisture. With plenty of
instability...expect increasing chances for showers and storms
across the area for Sunday afternoon thru Monday.  Behind the
system...cooler and a bit drier air will return to the area.
However...the upper pattern becomes more zonal...and a series of
impulses will propagate through the flow bringing additional chances
for scattered showers or storms through the end of the period.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning)
Issued at 659 AM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016

VFR conditions were across the area. Cigs were intermittent between
5 and 8 thousand ft over the south and east parts of the area. A
clear sky was over the north third of the area. VFR conditions are
expected for today and tonight. The sky should slowly clear from the
north today.


.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


LONG TERM...Hopkins
AVIATION...Hoppes is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.