Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 271638
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST FRI MAR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MAINLY DRY WEATHER AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS. WEATHER FORECAST MODELS SHOW
THIS

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN STATES. COMPUTER WEATHER MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS RIDGE GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
RECORD TEMPERATURE POTENTIAL ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH
SATURDAY.

A WEAK LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY AND SLOWLY PASS THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION ON MONDAY. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM
MAY BRING A FEW HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO
EASTERN ARIZONA ALONG THE NEW MEXICO BORDER. IMPACTS FOR MONDAY
INCLUDE CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLE FIRE STARTS DUE TO
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES NEXT WEEK AS WE MOVE INTO A
WINDY SPRING FIRE WEATHER PATTERN AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS PASS BY TO
THE NORTH OF THE STATE. EXPECT DRY HUMIDITY LEVELS AND PERIODS OF
STRONG WINDS .

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING VFR
CONDITIONS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN
AVIATION.......MCCOLLUM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





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