Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 270409

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
909 PM MST Mon Jun 26 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Aside from a very slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms near the White Mountains again Tuesday afternoon,
the rest of the state will see dry and breezy to windy
conditions. No significant moisture is expected through the end of
the week.


Showers have all but ended across northern Arizona this evening,
with just some isolated light showers continuing across Apache
county. Cooler temps, dry conditions, and increasing winds to
develop in the coming days.


.PREV DISCUSSION /340 PM MST/...A trough of low pressure moving
into the Pacific Northwest is pushing drier air over western
Arizona today. Still, enough moisture remained over Arizona for
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms today. The dry air
will move over much of Arizona tonight with only a slight chance
for showers and thunderstorms over far southern Apache
County/White Mountains on Tuesday. The dry air and breezy to windy
conditions have prompted the issuance of a Red Flag Warning for
portions of the area on Tuesday. The dry and breezy conditions
will persist through the end of the week.

High temperatures will continue to slowly decrease from the record
highs seen last week. However, highs will continue to be above
average through the week.

No significant moisture is seen returning to Arizona through next


.AVIATION...For the 06z package...Southwest winds 15-25 kt with
gusts up to 35 kt to develop after 18Z Tuesday. Smoke from area
wildfires may affect flight paths. Aviation discussion not updated
for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Afternoon thunderstorm chances are expected to be
confined to the White Mountains Tuesday with dry weather across the
entire area Wednesday. Increasing winds combined with very low
relative humidity values will create critical fire weather
conditions for portions of the area Tuesday. Winds will also
approach critical thresholds Wednesday.

Thursday through Saturday...Dry weather and clear skies for all
through this period. Winds speeds will decrease on Thursday and
Friday with a slight increase in winds Saturday. Max temperatures
to remain around 4 degrees above normal.


.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Red Flag Warning from noon to
8 PM MST Tuesday FOR AZZ107-109-111>116-139-140.




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