Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 261032
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
332 AM MST WED NOV 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FAIR WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY. THE WARMEST DAYS WILL BE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WHEN
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK
BRINGING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER THE WEST COAST AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE
THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY WEEKEND. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FLATTENS AS
IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. WARMER AIR ASSOCIATED
WITH THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM SIGNIFICANTLY OVER
WHAT WE`VE SEEN THE PAST FEW DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK
ON THANKSGIVING DAY AT AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...THOUGH NOT QUITE RECORD TERRITORY. A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
WILL AFFECT FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY WITH OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OF THANKSGIVING DAY.

MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW STRENGTHENS WHICH WILL LEAD TO BREEZY
AFTERNOON WINDS EACH DAY. FORECAST MODELS AGREE WITH MOVING A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST SOMETIME IN THE
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY TIME-FRAME NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH FAST MOVING...THE
TROUGH APPEARS TO PICK UP A DECENT PACIFIC MOISTURE TAP. WILL
CONTINUE TO INCLUDE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FROM
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY UNTIL TIMING BECOMES MORE CLEAR.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCS
AVIATION.......BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





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