Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 061603
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1103 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.AVIATION...
STILL DEALING WITH SOME MVFR CEILINGS THIS LATE HOUR OF THE
MORNING BUT EXPECT THESE CLOUD HEIGHT TO EVENTUALLY LIFT OR
SCATTER OUR TO VFR CONDITIONS SHORTLY AFTERNOON 17Z. MIXING WILL
RESULT IN SOME STRONGER SSW WIND GUSTS...MAINLY ACROSS OUR NE TX
TERMINAL LOCATIONS. HAVE LEFT OUT ANY MENTION OF CONVECTION IN THE
18Z TAF PACKAGE AS COVERAGE DOES NOT WARRANT THE INCLUSION. WINDS
WILL DECOUPLE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL RESULT IN A RETURN TO IFR/MVFR
CEILINGS AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH A 3-5SM REDUCTION IN VSBY AN HOUR
OR TWO EITHER SIDE OF 12Z. THESE CEILINGS WILL CLIMB AND OR
SCATTER OUT IN THE 16-18Z TIMEFRAME ON TUE WITH STRONG SSW WINDS
ONCE AGAIN MIXING DOWN BY LATE MORNING.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1049 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CONTINUES OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING...AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS TO OUR N. MORNING
STRATUS CONTINUES TO HOLD ON OVER MANY LOCATIONS...BUT VIS SAT
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MIXING HAS ALREADY COMMENCED. HOWEVER...AREA OF
THICKER CLOUD COVER IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE PASSING UPPER
DISTURBANCE IS IN PLACE OVER SERN OK/SW AR/NE TX. THIS WILL MOST
LIKELY BE SLOWER TO MIX OUT...IF IT DOES AT ALL. HAVE MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS TO MAINLY UPDATE THE TIMING OF
THINNING CLOUDS. OTHERWISE...TEMPS RUNNING IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID
80S AT MOST SPOTS AS OF 10 AM...AND THIS SHOULD PUT US RIGHT ON
PAR TO REACH OUR FCST AFTN MAX TEMPS. ALL OTHER ASPECTS OF THE
FCST FOR TODAY SEEM TO BE ON TRACK...SO WILL NOT BE MAKING ANY
OTHER CHANGES ATTM. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  93  75  92  76 /  10  10  10  10
MLU  91  74  93  75 /  10  10  10  10
DEQ  91  74  89  73 /  20  10  30  30
TXK  92  75  90  75 /  20  10  20  20
ELD  91  74  92  75 /  20  10  10  10
TYR  93  75  91  76 /  10  10  10  10
GGG  94  75  92  75 /  10  10  10  10
LFK  94  76  93  76 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12/13


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