Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 240846 CCA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
346 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
EARLY MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN
THE MID 50S TO MID 60S AND LIGHT WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
WE COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS MORNING AND WE HAVE GONE
AHEAD AND INCLUDED A MENTION OF FOG THROUGH 10 AM. OTHERWISE...
ANOTHER DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED AS A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AXIS REMAINS THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ON SATURDAY AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. AT THIS
TIME... IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ANY RECORDS WILL BE BROKEN TODAY...BUT
WE COULD GET VERY CLOSE TO RECORD TERRITORY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR
ON SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE ABOVE MENTIONED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD ON
SUNDAY AS WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT INCREASES OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THE
WEAKENING RIDGE WILL STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CONTINUE THE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE DO
EXPECT A WEAK UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN U.S. PLAINS
ON TUESDAY AND THIS COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF A KERRVILLE TO SAN ANTONIO TO KARNES CITY
LINE LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY EASE INTO
OUR FAR NORTHERN AREAS (LLANO AND BURNET COUNTIES) TUESDAY
NIGHT...BUT THE FRONT WILL BE RATHER WEAK. THE OPERATIONAL MODELS
BEGIN TO DIVERGE LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH THE ECMWF
SHOWING ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY VS. THE
GFS MODEL AND IT/S UPPER RIDGE. FOR NOW...WE/LL KEEP THE FORECAST
DRY WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              87  63  90  62  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  86  58  89  56  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     87  61  90  59  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            85  61  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           85  62  87  60  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        85  61  88  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             86  57  89  54  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        87  60  89  58  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   85  60  87  60  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       87  64  89  62  87 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           87  62  89  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...04
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24










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