Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 162000
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Cool air will build from the north before shifting to our south
Friday. An upper disturbance may bring a few showers late Saturday
and early Sunday. A building upper level ridge will bring above
normal warmth into next week.

Fog potential for tonight...None

NCZ105>110-171200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           65           43           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  4        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         55/1100      1800         55/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        78           29           80           35
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4320                      3930
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 18
Ventilation rate                   64800                     70740
ADI early             8 poor       22 Fair      4 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  56 Gen good  2 Very poor  61 Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-171200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           66           41           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        S  3         SW  3        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         54/1100      1800         52/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        82           29           82           36
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4270                      4150
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 20
Ventilation rate                   68320                     83000
ADI early             7 poor       21 Fair      4 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  60 Gen good  2 Very poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-171200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
300 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           68           44           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  3         SW  4        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         58/1100      1800         56/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        80           28           79           35
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4200                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      SW 18
Ventilation rate                   71400                     84600
ADI early             6 Very poor  24 Fair      4 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  69 Good      2 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-171200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
300 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           68           41           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  4        S  3         SW  4        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         55/1100      1800         52/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        82           27           82           34
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4040                      5030
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      SW 22
Ventilation rate                   64640                     110660
ADI early             6 Very poor  17 Gen poor  4 Very poor  10 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  62 Good      2 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-171200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
300 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           69           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         SW  3        SW  4        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1900         58/1100      1800         54/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        83           27           79           34
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4260                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 21                      SW 22
Ventilation rate                   89460                     110000
ADI early             6 Very poor  23 Fair      5 Very poor  18 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  78 Good      2 Very poor  86 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            4
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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