Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191213
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS AN APPROACHING FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...THEN STALLS THROUGH FRIDAY. DRY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-200415-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           67           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        SW  6        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  8        NW  4        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.19         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            3
INVERSION             75/0900      2000         74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        44           97           39
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5790                      5510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW  2
VENTILATION RATE      57900                     11020
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      35 FAIR      24 FAIR
ADI LATE              62 GOOD      4 VERY POOR  23 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200415-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           66           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        W  3         N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         NW  3        NE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            2
INVERSION             75/1000      2000         72/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        39           95           36
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6010                      5860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  2
VENTILATION RATE      72120                     11720
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      26 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              64 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-200415-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           68           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        SW  5        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  8        NW  4        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.08         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            0
INVERSION             76/1000      2000         74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        41           97           43
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5790                      6120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  3
VENTILATION RATE      75270                     18360
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      54 GEN GOOD  16 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              66 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200415-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            2            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           68           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        W  3         N  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         NW  3        NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            0
INVERSION             75/0900      2000         74/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        38           96           38
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6010                      7600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N  1
VENTILATION RATE      84140                     7600
ADI EARLY             31 FAIR      63 GOOD      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              87 GOOD      3 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200415-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           66           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        NW  3        N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  6         N  3         NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
INVERSION             75/1000      2000         73/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        38           91           35
DSI                   4                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6020                      7790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW  3
VENTILATION RATE      54180                     23370
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      34 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              59 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40


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