Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 180821
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
321 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD THURSDAY,
MOVING OFFSHORE FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY THE RETURN OF THE FRONT FROM THE
SOUTH SATURDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS BY MONDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-190030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
321 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           41           60
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W 10         N  7         NE  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NW  9        N  5         LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0
INVERSION             62/0800      2000         45/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        51           88           46
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3550                      3040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     SW  3
VENTILATION RATE      71000                     9120
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              69 GOOD      4 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
321 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          71           41           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W 10         N  7         NE  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NW  9        NE  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0
INVERSION             62/0800      2000         45/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        47           88           46
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3580                      2920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     S  2
VENTILATION RATE      75180                     5840
ADI EARLY             32 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              71 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  11 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-190030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
321 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          74           44           63
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 10        N  7         NE  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NW 11        NE  5        E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             64/0800      2000         49/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        55           84           46
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3570                      2660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      S  5
VENTILATION RATE      64260                     13300
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      12 POOR      10 POOR
ADI LATE              57 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-190030-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
321 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          75           44           64
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW 10 G20    NE  6        NE  4
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NW 10 G20    NE  3        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             64/0800      2000         48/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        46           84           43
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4270                      2760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SE  5
VENTILATION RATE      76860                     13800
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      11 POOR      14 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              62 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.
MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-190030-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
321 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          73           41           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W 10         N  7         NE  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NW  9        NE  4        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0
INVERSION             63/0800      2000         46/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        45           86           44
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3880                      2920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     SE  3
VENTILATION RATE      69840                     8760
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  7 POOR
ADI LATE              68 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

15



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