Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMEG 260421
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1121 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 856 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

UPDATE...

LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES WARMER THIS EVENING
COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT UNDERNEATH CLEAR SKIES. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
ARE IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES. EXPECT LOWS TO DROP INTO
THE 50S TONIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE CITY OF MEMPHIS WHERE TEMPERATURES
WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE LOWER 60S. ALREADY HAVE SOME FOG
DEVELOPING...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TO SEE IF THE VISIBILITYS
DROP TO ADVISORY CRITERIA. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD RIGHT
NOW...NO UPDATES ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KRM

DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST OHIO THROUGH SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
AND INTO WESTERN KANSAS. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AND NO RAIN. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH TONIGHT
BUT STALL OUT NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. THERE
IS NOT MUCH MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT SO RAIN IS EXPECTED.
HOWEVER THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE NEAR THE GROUND TO PRODUCE
SOME PATCHY AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER
PLEASANT FOR LATE OCTOBER WITH LOWS SUNDAY MORNING IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S.

THE STALLED OUT COLD FRONT WILL START TO MOVE BACK NORTH ON SUNDAY
LEAVING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHS ON
SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WHICH WILL BE CLOSE TO
RECORDS FOR THE DAY. THE WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY AS WELL.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT.
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE FRONT AND SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REACH WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT SO THERE WILL BE A BETTER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN AROUND TEMPERATURES
WILL BE COOLER ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA
SO THE THREAT OF RAIN WILL DIMINISH DURING THE DAY. COOLER AND
DRIER AIR WILL START TO MOVE INTO THE REGION WITH HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 70 DEGREES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
START TO TAKE CONTROL OVER THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING
DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT.
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO NO RAIN IS EXPECTED. BEHIND THIS FRONT
WILL BE EVEN COOLER AIR. THIS WILL MAKE A COOL LAST DAY OF OCTOBER
WITH HIGHS FRIDAY MAINLY IN THE 60S. HALLOWEEN WILL BE RATHER COOL
BUT DRY WITH LOWS SATURDAY MORNING IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NEXT SATURDAY WILL BE EVEN COOLER WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO REACH
60 DEGREES.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TERMINALS ATTM THOUGH FOG WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. MVFR VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE AT KMEM AND
KJBR. IFR CONDS ARE POSSIBLE AT KTUP WITH LIFR CONDS POSSIBLE AT
KMKL. VFR CONDS WILL RETURN AFTER 26/12Z-26/13Z. WINDS LIGHT
TONIGHT. WINDS AFTER 26/14Z S-SW 5-7 KTS.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$







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