Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 181957
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
257 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Tuesday night)
Another mostly sunny and warm day is ongoing across South Florida
with southeasterly breezes as deep layer high pressure centered
north and east of the region dominates. For the first part of the
week, this overall pattern will continue, with temperatures
remaining well above normal. Patchy fog is possible over the
northwest interior late each night and early morning. Wind will
increase some as pressure gradient tightens across the region. A
westward moving disturbance will cross Monday night, bringing a
slight chance for showers, otherwise aside from a rogue Atlantic
shower spreading inland occasionally, dry conditions will
prevail.

LONG TERM (Wednesday through Saturday night)
Overall weather pattern of dominant high pressure and above normal
temperatures will prevail into next weekend. Maxima should
generally be in the low to mid 80s with minima in the 60s, except
low 70s across the east coast metropolitan area. Moisture will
gradually increase, and isolated showers will become more likely
by the end of the week, especially along the east coast.

&&

.MARINE...
Pressure gradient between high centered to the north and east and
general low pressure in the Carribean will tighten early this
week, leading to 15 to 20 KT winds. Across Atlantic waters, wind
may exceed 20 KT and a Small Craft Advisory may be warranted. Wind
generated waves of up to 6 feet are also possible in the Atlantic.

&&

.AVIATION...
Winds will remain easterly through tonight, as wind speeds will
be around 10 to 15 knots this afternoon before decreasing to 5 to
10 knots tonight. The only exception is at KAPF taf site where the
wind direction will go westerly between 19Z and 00Z this
afternoon, due to the west coast sea breeze developing and pushing
inland. The weather will remain dry along with VFR conditions in
the ceiling and vis at all of the taf sites through tonight.

&&

.BEACH FORECAST...
Increasing easterly flow will lead to a moderate risk of rip
currents on Atlantic beaches Washington`s Birthday, and
potentially a high risk of rip currents for the bulk of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  71  83  75  83 /  10  10  20  10
Fort Lauderdale  72  81  75  83 /  10  20  20  10
Miami            72  83  74  84 /  10  10  20  10
Naples           67  87  70  86 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...23/SK
MARINE...23/SK
AVIATION...54/BNB
BEACH FORECAST...23/SK


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