Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 011851
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
251 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE
AMPLITUDE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RETROGRADING TO THE SOUTHWEST
WHICH IS SUPPORTING ACTIVE CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND THE
CENTRAL TO NORTHWEST BAHAMAS ISLANDS. THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
RETROGRADE WESTWARD THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT DOES SO THE
LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE COULD TRACK
NORTHWEST AND ENTER THE REGIONAL ATLANTIC WATERS LATE TUESDAY AND
PASS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SO THE OVERALL
FORECAST IS FOR A TREND OF INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH AND MOISTURE PASS INTO OR
ACROSS THE REGION. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE AND COVERAGE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. BY
FRIDAY THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BUT SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE COULD LINGER WITH A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.


&&

.MARINE...

MAINLY EASTERLY WINDS AT 15 KNOTS OR LESS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK IF NOT
BEYOND. REGIONAL SEAS ARE MAINLY FORECAST TO BE 2 FEET OR LESS
THROUGH THE SAME PERIOD ALTHOUGH THE GULF STREAM COULD HAVE SEAS
NEAR 3 FEET AT TIMES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  79  90  78  89 /  20  40  30  50
FORT LAUDERDALE  80  90  79  89 /  20  40  30  60
MIAMI            80  89  79  89 /  20  40  30  60
NAPLES           76  91  76  90 /  30  60  20  60

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...84/AK
LONG TERM....60/BD


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