Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 280210
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
910 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.UPDATE...
Fairly persistent band of showers oriented NW-SE mainly offshore
Palm Beach County exists this evening, and is occasionally
impacting northern West Palm Beach metropolitan area. POPs have
been raised in this region, otherwise no changes to evening
forecast.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 733 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017/

AVIATION...
ESE winds, near 10 KT, will continue through the night and into
early Tuesday morning. Aft 28/1500Z, these winds are expected to
increase to between 13-16 KT, with occasional higher gusts.
Although patchy fog may develop over the northwest interior of the
peninsula late tonight, vis should remain P6SM at the TAF sites.
Few/Sct low clouds with bases 2500-5000 ft msl will prevail through
the period with isolated showers along the east coast.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 324 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017/

DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
Deep-layer HIPRES continues to dominate South Florida, with
little change expected through the short term. Breezy easterly
winds will gradually turn southeasterly and diminish in speed by
mid-week. Temperatures will remain will above normal, with maxima
well into the 80s /perhaps a few low 90s over western interior
Tuesday. Minima will be in the 60s interior and west, with low to
mid 70s along the east coast. See Climate section below for more
details. Low-level moisture is moderate, so a few Atlantic showers
are expected, and isolated activity may push into the east coast
at times through Tuesday. Wednesday, with the lightly, more
southeasterly flow, sea breeze development is possible, thus low
POPs exist most areas. Cant rule out some patchy fog northwest
interior tonight, and the environment may support additional fog
development Tuesday night.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
Cold front will pass through the region late Thursday/Thursday
night, bringing a slight chance of showers, with temperatures
returning to near normal in its wake. Front wont make it south of
Florida straights, and moisture will remain in the vicinity. Thus,
expect gusty NE winds with scattered Atlantic showers at times
making it onshore Friday through the weekend.

MARINE...
With near-surface high pressure centered north and east of the
waters through mid-week, breezy northeast and east wind will
prevail. Winds will turn more southerly and diminish in speed
Wednesday and Thursday, before a cold front turns winds northerly
Thursday night into the weekend. A few showers are possible mainly
over Atlantic waters through the week.

BEACH FORECAST...
Breezy easterly winds will persist into Tuesday. There is a high
risk of rip currents along Atlantic beaches through at least
Tuesday night, and this threat may continue into Wednesday.

CLIMATE...
Naples reached 88 degrees today, breaking the daily record high
temperature, previous 87F in 1971.  It is also the highest
temperature of the year so far in Naples. Additional warm records
may be threatened over the next several days. &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  71  83  73  85 /  20  20  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  74  82  75  83 /  20  20  10  10
Miami            72  84  74  85 /  20  10  10  10
Naples           67  86  67  84 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...23/SK
DISCUSSION...23/SK
MARINE...23/SK
AVIATION...27/JT
BEACH FORECAST...23/SK
CLIMATE...23/SK



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