Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 010041
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
841 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.UPDATE...
LIMITED CU FIELD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY CONTINUES TO ERODE EARLY
THIS EVENING GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. HIGHER DEWPOINTS
ACROSS GLADES...HENDRY AND COLLIER COUNTIES COULD CONTRIBUTE TO
PATCHY FOG FORMATION ACROSS THESE AREAS AS TEMPERATURES COOL
THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 753 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015/

AVIATION...
WINDS WEAKENING TONIGHT, WITH VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL, WITH SEA BREEZES EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ONCE AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON FROM THE SE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015/

SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES INTO THE WEEKEND. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
BRING LITTLE TEMPERATURE CHANGE BUT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY SUNDAY.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
LLVL RDG AXIS NEARLY OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON...AND NOT EVEN CU
FIELD PRESENT IN SOUTHERN CWA. EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES
ARE HEADING INLAND...OTHERWISE NO SENSIBLE WEATHER VARIATION OVER
THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 80F.

NEAR-ZONAL FLOW AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL ALLOW SURFACE
RIDGING TO REMAIN DOMINANT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE WEEK.
CURRENT HIPRES WILL WEAKEN AND SLIDE A BIT S/W AS ANOTHER SURGE
SPILLS IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUT
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER WESTERN INTERIOR THURSDAY...BUT ACTIVITY
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY OVER NE/EC FLORIDA WHERE BETTER CONVERGENCE AND
DYNAMICS ARE FORECAST. EASTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BUILDING
HIGH PRESSURE MAY LEAD TO A GREATER RISK FOR EAST COAST RIP
CURRENTS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. EXPECT HIGHS IN LOW TO MID 80S
THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM UPPER 50S INTERIOR TO
AROUND 70F ALONG THE EAST COAST.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
WINDS ALOFT GENERALLY WESTERLY THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL PRECLUDE
SIGNIFICANT FRONTS OR STORM SYSTEMS REACHING SOUTH FLORIDA. A
SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES N/E OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY...WHICH MAY SEND A MODEST BOUNDARY/FRONT INTO THE
REGION AS SFC RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY. WITH THE INCREASED
CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE POOL...LOW POPS IN FORECAST FOR SUNDAY
AND MONDAY...MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN. TEMPERATURES EXHIBIT A SLOW
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE PERIOD.

MARINE...
LIGHT WINDS OVER WATERS UNTIL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN INDUCES
EASTERLY WINDS AT 10-15 KTS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. GENERALLY
BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  63  83  68  83 /   0   0   0  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  65  83  70  82 /   0   0   0   0
MIAMI            65  83  70  83 /   0   0   0   0
NAPLES           62  81  64  84 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...10/CD
AVIATION...21/KM



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