Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 232044
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
344 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...WEAK UPPER LVL
DISTURBANCE/TROUGH AXIS THAT HAS MOVED THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD TRACK...WITH DRY AIR AS SEEN ON WV
SATELLITE IMAGERY BEING USHERED IN BEHIND IT. UPPER LVL RIDGE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES
AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE FOR TOMORROW. WINDS WILL DROP TO VERY LIGHT
TO CALM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH
DRIER AIR AND CLEARING SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE REGION. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARMER TOMORROW THAN TODAY...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY RANGING FROM THE
MID 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...RIDGING OVER THE WEEKEND AT
THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL KEEP US DRY AND WARM. UPPER RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LARGE UPPER TROF
DROPS INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND EVENTUALLY OUT INTO THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP
A FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS BEFORE STALLING IT OUT AS
A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS RAPIDLY AND LIFTS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO
ONTARIO. GFS HAS NOW JOINED THE REST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS IN
KEEPING THE FRONT NORTH OF THE CWFA. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
IN EARNEST ON MONDAY...BRINGING WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS BACK TO
OUR AREA. INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY...WITH RAIN
CHANCES SPREADING ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    64  86  63  86  60  /  10   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          58  87  59  88  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            65  90  66  90  65  /  10   0   0   0   0
ALICE             62  88  61  90  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          65  83  65  85  66  /  10   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           63  88  63  91  60  /  10   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        62  86  60  89  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       68  84  67  85  66  /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

LK/84...SHORT TERM
JV/71...LONG TERM





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