Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 060603
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
103 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PREDOMIANTE MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY THIS MONDAY
MORNING ALONG WITH BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES WEST OF U.S. 77 AND
EAST OF STATE ROAD 16. FURTHER...ANTICIPATE NON-CONVECTIVE LLWS AT
LRD/ALI MAINLY DRG THE 09-14Z MONDAY PERIOD. A TRANSITION TO VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY MORNING/EARLY MONDAY AFTN.
ANTICIPATE MODERATE WIND/BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTN. ANTICIPATE A
RETURN TO MVFR CEILINGS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS NEAR THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 846 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...QUIET IN SOUTH TEXAS AND ONLY MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST LOOKS OK SO NO CHANGES THERE. NO UPDATE NEEDED FOR THE
ZFPCRP. HAVE ISSUED THE GRIDDED TEXT PRODUCTS. MARINE FORECAST
STILL FINE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE TAF FORECASTS. CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. WILL SEE WINDS
DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT LET UP COMPLETELY. MVFR CIGS FOR A TIME
OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN SITES. TOMORROW WILL REPEAT WITH SCATTERED
CU AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...ANY ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK AS DRIER AIR AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES INTO
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW WITH TEMPERATURES AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S NEAR LAREDO TO LOWER 90S ACROSS
THE COASTAL BEND INTO VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
ON THE MILD SIDE AS MIN TEMPS HOLD STEADY IN THE MID AND UPPER
70S.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TO THE MID WEEK AS A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF KEEP A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK SHEAR AXIS ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE REGION AS WELL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. MOISTURE INCREASES
SLIGHTLY DURING THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT AT
THE SAME TIME CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS IN FULLY
OVER THE STATE. KEPT WITH THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. BY THE END OF THE WEEK HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY
BRIEFLY EXCEED 105 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS...MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    90  79  92  78  91  /   0  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          90  78  91  76  90  /   0  10  10  10  10
LAREDO            98  78  99  76  99  /   0  10  10   0   0
ALICE             93  77  94  76  94  /   0  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          88  81  90  81  89  /   0  10  10  10  10
COTULLA           96  77  97  75  97  /   0  10  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        92  79  93  77  92  /   0  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  80  90  80  88  /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION



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