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000
FXUS64 KCRP 300833
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
333 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...DEEPEST MOISTURE VALUES
ARE LOCATED OVER THE FAR NE ZONES THIS MORNING /PER GOES IMAGERY/
WHILE PWATS FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST ARE NEARLY TWO STANDARD
DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE JULY. THE DRIER AIRMASS WILL AID
IN A CONTINUATION OF HOT AFTERNOONS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD
WITH MAX TEMPS TODAY BEING VERY SIMILAR TO TUESDAY/S VALUES /ALONG
WITH LOWER AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS/. BREEZIER CONDITIONS /AS COMPARED
TO TUES/ SHOULD ALSO DEVELOP BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON AS SEA BREEZE
PUSHES INLAND AND AS WEAK SFC LOW HOOKS EAST OUT OF THE SOUTH
PLAINS OF TEXAS. MIN TEMPS TONIGHT SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES
WARMER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS AS MODERATE SOUTHERLY LLJ IS PROG TO
DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO SAID LOW PRESSURE CENTER. HEAT INDICES WILL
LIKELY BE HIGHER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WEAKER DIURNAL MIXING IS
PROG TO OCCUR WITH MAX TEMPS AGAIN APPROACHING/EXCEEDING 100
DEGREES FOR ALL INLAND LOCATIONS. HAVE KEPT SHORT TERM PERIOD DRY
FOR NOW WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
AND NE ZONES LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH BETTER CHANGES OF RAIN
COMING IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WL PUSH INTO THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA ON FRI. IT WL THEN
STALL ACROSS THE CWA AND GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FRONTOLYTIC OVER THE
WEEKEND. POOLED MOISTURE AS HIGH AS 2.3 INCHES PW WL ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT.  THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH LOW LVL KINEMATIC FORCING ENHANCED
BY SEABREEZE INTERACTION WL PRODUCE SCATTERED CONVECTION BEGINNING
ACROSS THE NRN AREAS ON FRIDAY AND THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA OVER THE
WEEKEND.  SLOW-MOVING STORMS AND THE HIGH PWS WL LKLY PRODUCE SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.  BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THE MOISTURE LVLS
WL BE ON THE WANE AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT AND DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN
FROM THE NORTH.  WL THUS ONLY KEEP ISOLATED (MAINLY SEABREEZE)
CONVECTION IN THE FCST FOR THIS PORTION OF THE EXTENDED FCST.
OVERALL TEMPS WL BE AT OR EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR A CHANGE
DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUD CVR AND RAIN CHANCES WITH THE FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    98  76  98  76  95  /  10  10  10  10  20
VICTORIA         100  75 100  76  94  /  10  10  10  20  30
LAREDO           105  80 106  79 102  /   0   0  10  10  20
ALICE            102  75 103  76  98  /  10  10  10  10  20
ROCKPORT          92  80  92  80  90  /  10  10  10  10  20
COTULLA          103  75 103  77  98  /   0  10  10  20  30
KINGSVILLE       101  76 100  76  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       92  80  93  80  91  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

RH/79...SHORT TERM
MB/80...LONG TERM