Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 312322
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
522 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AS MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN DRY. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT
SHIFTING TO MORE OF AN EASTERLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE POSITIONS ITSELF SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA. LOWS TONIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE KS/NE BORDER AND
EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
COLORADO TO UPPER 80S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 159 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE AREA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. AN EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING WHEN A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SATURDAY INTO THE EVENING.
IF ANY STORMS DUE DEVELOP THEY SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THEREAFTER. AS FOR WINDS, THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY FRIDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS FRIDAY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. LOWS LOOK TO START OUT
RANGING FROM THE MID 50S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING THEN REACH INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS MONDAY MORNING ARE PROGGED TO
DIP INTO THE MID 60S.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE RIDGE.
MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME WITH
INCREASED CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY
WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
LEE TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE
OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUE TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS WEDNESDAY MAY ONLY REACH INTO THE 80S
DEPENDING IF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 516 PM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A
COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR KMCK WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS
EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING. OTHERWISE...STRONG RIDGE
ALOFT WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS AT THE SURFACE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...024




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