Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 251841
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
241 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...TEMPERATURES IN THE FLORIDA KEYS ARE CLOSE
TO 80 DEGREES. WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S...CONDITIONS ARE QUITE
COMFORTABLE ACCOMPANIED BY A MODERATING NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZE.

HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE CONTINUES TO EXPAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS EASTWARD TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA...AND EARLY NEXT WEEK INTO THE WESTERN NORTH
ATLANTIC. THE LOCAL FLOW ACROSS THE KEYS AND SURROUNDING WATERS WILL
CONTINUE TO MODERATE AND TURN NORTHEASTERLY ON SUNDAY...AND THEN
MORE EASTERLY ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD HIGH PRESSURE
EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY REBOUND DURING THAT TIME.
BUT...THE PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS LOW. NO MENTION
WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE UPCOMING ZONE FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. A MINIMAL MENTION RETURNS ON MONDAY NIGHT AS THE FLOW DEEPENS
AND FRESHENS FROM THE EAST. SLIGHTLY HIGHER INSTABILITY AND A
SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE PROFILE FOR THUNDER RETURNS AS WE APPROACH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. BUT THIS CHANCE IS ALSO LOW...AND HAS ONLY
BEEN ADVERTISED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN UNDER A BROAD UPPER TROUGH...AND OUR
FLOW BEGINS TO BACK TO THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. KEPT A LOW
PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS FOR ALL PERIODS FROM THAT POINT ONWARD. A
WEAKENING FRONT SAGGING CLOSE TO THE KEYS BY NEXT WEEKEND WILL
PROBABLY HAVE LITTLE MODIFYING AFFECTS TO THE LOCAL AIRMASS...AT
LEAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE NORTH TO NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL
WATERS SURROUNDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. WILL HAVE AN
EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINE FOR THE STRAITS THROUGH TONIGHT WITH WINDS
OCCASIONALLY REACHING TO 20 KNOTS...AND OCCASIONAL WAVES UP TO 6 FEET
THIS EVENING. EXPECT WINDS TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
SUNDAY...AND MORE TO THE EAST BY MONDAY OR MONDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE
TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH BREEZES ARE POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT
WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE STRAITS AND PERIODICALLY THE REEF. SO
OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE AWARE THAT AN EXERCISE CAUTION
HEADLINE MAY BE NECESSARY FOR A FEW PERIODS IN THOSE WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON
TERMINALS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE
NORTH NORTHEAST AOA 10 KNOTS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  73  82  75  84 / -  -  -  -
MARATHON  72  82  75  84 / -  -  -  -

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........04
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....BWC
DATA COLLECTION.......CHESSER

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