Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
FXUS62 KKEY 250601
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
201 AM EDT SAT JUN 25 2016
KBYX detects scattered showers over the coastal waters of the Florida
Straits. Elsewhere, KBYX detects isolated showers throughout the
remainder of the forecast area. Skies over the island chain are
mostly clear. Winds over land are east to southeast at 10 to 15 mph.
C-MAN winds, on average, are east to southeast near 15 knots.
Temperatures are in the lower to mid 80s.
.SHORT TERM (Today through Monday)...
A trough of low pressure near the western tip of Cuba will progress
westward today. An Atlantic ridge of high pressure across north
central Florida will retreat eastward tonight. A trough of low
pressure will be located just off the southeast coast of the United
States Sunday through Monday. Rain chances in the short term portion
of the forecast should be highest this morning until the
aforementioned trough of low pressure progresses farther away from
the Florida Keys.
.LONG TERM (Monday night through Friday)...
A trough of low pressure will remain just off the southeast coast of
the United States Monday night, before dissipating Tuesday. An
Atlantic ridge of high pressure will build across south central
Florida Tuesday night through Friday. The long term portion of the
forecast will be based on climatology, with a 20 to 30 percent chance
of rain, and high temperatures near 90 degrees, with low temperatures
near 80 degrees.
Moderate east to southeast breezes will prevail on all Keys coastal
waters today. No advisories or cautionary headlines expected today.
Sustained east to southeast surface winds of 15 to 20 knots are
possible on the coastal waters of the Florida Straits tonight. No
advisories or cautionary headlines expected Sunday through at least
A few clusters of showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms will
be advancing through the Florida Straits this morning. A short-
duration tempo for MVFR and wind gusts in excess of 20 knots is in
place for Key West, with additional activity possible closer to
sunrise. East to southeast winds 8 to 13 knots, with occasional
higher gusts, expected outside of any showers and thunderstorms.
On this date in Florida Keys weather history, in 1992, 5.14 inches of
rain fell at Key West International Airport. This set the daily
record for maximum rainfall measured in Key West on June 25th, a
record which still stands 24 years later. In addition, this is the
wettest day ever observed in Key West during the month of June.
Rainfall records at Key West date back to 1871.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West 90 82 89 81 / 40 20 20 30
Marathon 92 81 91 80 / 40 20 20 30
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