Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 270759
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
359 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS FEW CLOUDS MOVED OVER THE AREA
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH BRIEF LOW CEILINGS AT AROUND 2500 FT.
HOWEVER...THE RADAR STAYED CLEAR OF RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES REMAINED
ABOVE 80S ACROSS MOST OF THE ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...CRUSHING ANOTHER
WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORD YESTERDAY. AS OF 4 AM...THE LOW AT
THE KEY WEST AIRPORT HAS DIPPED TO 82 DEGREES AND TO 81 DEGREES AT
THE MARATHON AIRPORT. WINDS HAVE BEEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN ACROSS CUBA THIS PAST WEEKEND
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD TODAY AND A LOW EXITING THROUGH TEXAS
WILL MOVE EASTWARD ALONG ITS COAST. THEREFORE OUR AREA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN
THESE TWO SYSTEMS KEEPING OUR WINDS VARIABLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND
MOSTLY QUIET WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN
EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S AT MARATHON.

.TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY...AS THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ALONG THE
GULF COAST AND SHIFTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON
WEDNESDAY...IT WILL BRING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS TO OUR FORECAST AREA.
THIS WILL ALLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH
HIGHER CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. NO MAJOR CHANGES
WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE ON FRIDAY. IT ALSO MEANS THAT A RELIEF TO THE
TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL ALSO
INCREASE FROM WEDNESDAY ON...SLOWLY DECREASING ON FRIDAY.


&&

.MARINE...VARIABLE WINDS WILL BE THE NORM TODAY ACROSS OUR WATERS AS
WE REMAIN BETWEEN TWO PRESSURE SYSTEMS. THEN AS A LOW PRESSURE MOVES
EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM TUESDAY ON...WINDS WILL PICK UP TO
AROUND 10 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN SLOWLY VEERING
THROUGH THE DAY AND INCREASING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. CAUTION FOR SMALL CRAFT MIGHT BE REQUIRED
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR WATERS. ACTIVE WEATHER IS ALSO EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF MVFR CEILING ARE POSSIBLE AT THE EYW AND MTH TERMINALS
EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT THOSE TERMINALS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE TO NEAR 10 KNOTS...AND THEN BECOME VARIABLE
AGAIN THIS EVENING.

&&

.CLIMATE...ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...IN 1941...2.20 INCHES
OF RAIN WAS RECORDED IN KEY WEST. THIS SET THE DAILY RAINFALL RECORD FOR
APRIL 27 IN KEY WEST. RAINFALL RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1871.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........KN
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....04

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