Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 272000
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
200 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...A cold front is stalled from roughly Dallas to
Alexandria to Mobile this afternoon. Temperatures in central LA
just north of the front are in the 60s while across the East TX
Lakes and South LA temps are in the low 80s to mid 70s. A weak
disturbance aloft is pushing across East TX and LA with a few
storms ahead of the short wave and in the vicinity of the front.
With the frontal boundary, the short wave, and a warm and moist
air mass being pulled north there is a marginal to slight risk of
severe weather over portions of East TX and LA through the
remainder of the day.

Tonight into tomorrow a stronger short wave will move across the
Rockies allowing low pressure to form in the plains. This will
lift the front back north. A few shower will be possible Tuesday
while the warm and moist air mass remains in place.

Tuesday Night and Wednesday the plains low will move toward the
Great Lakes while the short wave moves across the central sections
of the country. This will swing a cold front through our region
Wednesday. Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected
as this occurs. With the warm and moist air mass in place an
isolated strong to severe storm can not be ruled out, however the
best dynamics look just removed to the north and east.

A cooler and more seasonable air mass will move in behind the
boundary and linger into the weekend, but by Sunday the above
normal temperatures are expected to return as high pressure
departs the region and the return flow begins again.


&&

.MARINE...A few showers and patchy fog can be expected ahead of
the front through Wednesday Morning. Thunderstorms may accompany
the front Wednesday Afternoon. A moderate to strong offshore flow
is expected behind the front into Thursday. A moderate to strong
easterly flow is then expected into the weekend.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  78  67  84  69 /  60  30  20  20
LCH  79  69  82  69 /  50  20  10  20
LFT  79  69  82  70 /  60  20  10  10
BPT  81  70  82  70 /  40  10  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...05


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