Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 242338
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
638 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 257 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016/

Skies are partly cloudy across the forecast area this afternoon
with temperatures ranging from the upper 80s to mid 90s. A few
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are moving across
southwest sections of the forecast area. This activity should not
produce too much rain and should be gone by this evening. Upper
Weak high pressure will keep things dry tonight. Temperatures will
remain warm with lows Sunday morning from the mid 60s to mid 70s.

A cold front is currently located from eastern South Dakota
through central Kansas and into west Texas. The front will move
through Oklahoma and north Texas on Sunday. It appears that any
thunderstorms that develop ahead of the front should be far enough
from the forecast area so that Sunday should be dry. Sunday will
another hot day with highs in the low to mid 90s. By Sunday night,
the cold front will be quickly moving into Arkansas and eventually
will move through much of the forecast area. Scattered thunderstorms
will move across the northwest half of the forecast area Sunday
night. Temperatures will remain warm again Sunday night with lows
Monday morning in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

On Monday, the cold front will be moving out of the forecast area
with scattered thunderstorms expected mainly during the morning
hours. Cooler air will be moving into the region behind the front
so highs on Monday will only be in the mid 70s to mid 80s. The
front will be over central Mississippi by Monday evening so there
could be some thunderstorms over northeast Mississippi in the
evening hours. Temperatures will be much cooler than they have
been over the past few days with lows Tuesday morning mainly in
the 50s.

High pressure will take control of the weather by Tuesday and will
remain in control through next Saturday. This will result in
another lengthy period of dry weather. Temperatures will be
significantly cooler than they have been with some locations
having lows Wednesday morning in the mid to upper 40s.
Temperatures will remain below normal from Tuesday through next
Saturday.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR at the sites this cycle...with early morning patchy fog at
MKL. Occasional IFR vsbys likely with similar conditions to last
night. Light winds will prevail.

SJM

&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$


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