Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMEG 300758
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
258 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Skies are mostly clear across the forecast area this morning with
temperatures ranging from the lower 60s to mid 70s. High pressure
was over the Ohio Valley this morning. This will keep things dry
for most of the forecast area today. A cold front will drop down
from the plains states. Thunderstorms will develop ahead of the
front and some of this activity might reach northwestern sections
of the forecast area this afternoon. Temperatures will remain a
little below normal with highs from the upper 80s to lower 90s.

The cold front will move slowly south tonight and will reach
southern sections of Missouri by Friday morning. This will mean
there will be a chance of thunderstorms over northwestern sections
of the forecast area. Temperatures will be a little warmer tonight
with lows Friday morning in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

On Friday, the cold front will continue to move slowly south and
will remain hung up over extreme southern Missouri. This will mean
there will be a chance of thunderstorms for the northern half of
the forecast area. Temperatures will be a little warmer on Friday
with highs in the 90-95 degree range.

The cold front will stall out just north of the forecast area by
Friday night and remain nearly stationary for much of the holiday
weekend. This will mean that there will be a chance of
thunderstorms with the best chance over northern sections of the
forecast area. It will not be raining during the entire holiday
weekend period but there will be a small chance every day.
Temperatures will be close to normal levels during the holiday
weekend.

The frontal boundary will start to lift north on Tuesday bringing
a slow decrease in the chance of thunderstorms Tuesday and Tuesday
night. By Wednesday, the front appears to die out so dry weather
should return.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions will exist through the 24-hr TAF period. Winds
will be light and mainly from the north and east throughout the
period.

JPM3

&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$


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