Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
FXUS62 KTAE 260049
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
849 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016
Overnight, dry conditions will persist due to the ridging pattern
in place. Light to calm winds will allow for temperatures to
cool into the low to mid 60s.
.AVIATION [Through 00Z Friday]...
At all TAF sites, VFR conditions will prevail. Light to calm winds
are expected overnight with winds slightly increasing and becoming
south/southeasterly after sunrise.
.PREV DISCUSSION [348 PM EDT]...
.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible along the sea breeze
through early this evening along the sea breeze. Otherwise, it will
be dry with lows in the lower to mid 60s.
.SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday Night]...
Our forecast area will remain underneath the subsidence side of an
upper level trough extending from the Gulf of Mexico to Cape
Hatteras. A surface high pressure system will be centered just off
the coast of the Mid Atlantic. On Friday, a weak low pressure area
will approach the Southeast Atlantic coast. While the typical sea
breeze circulation will be observed, deep layer moisture will remain
limited due to the influence of the ridge pattern, and therefore
only isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected.
Temperatures will be near average for this time of the year, with
highs around 90 and lows in the lower to mid 60s, along with lower
than normal relative humidity.
.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday]...
A weak low pressure area off the northeast coast of Florida will
increase the amount of uncertainty in the long term period. It is
generally expected to trek north-northwest slowly through Wednesday,
with the most likely impacts currently expected to be moderate to
heavy rain in eastern portions of Georgia and South Carolina.
Chances for rain will be lower locally, staying in the 20-30% range.
Maximum temperatures will remain around 90 with lows in the mid-
Aside from the daily onshore flow in the afternoons due to our
typical sea breeze, winds will generally be from the southeast
through Saturday, when high pressure will move in, making winds
lighter and more variable. Winds will become more westerly by early
next week. Seas will be 3 feet or less through the period.
Dry conditions are expected to continue through the next several
days. While dispersion values will be elevated Thursday and Friday
afternoons, humidity values are expected to remain above critical
levels, with Red Flag conditions not expected.
No significant rainfall is expected for the next several days and
there are no rivers in flood stage.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 65 91 66 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
Panama City 69 84 70 82 69 / 0 10 0 0 0
Dothan 65 91 67 89 67 / 0 10 0 0 0
Albany 65 91 66 89 65 / 0 10 0 0 0
Valdosta 63 90 62 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cross City 61 90 61 89 65 / 0 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 69 84 68 82 69 / 0 0 0 0 0