Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 010428 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1128 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
01/06Z TAFS...VFR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
DOMINATE TONIGHT AND MOST OF TOMORROW. STORMS IN KANSAS
IN THE NEAR TERM ARE EXPECTED TO STAY NORTH OF NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA TERMINALS. FROPA STILL EXPECTED 15-17Z AT
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TERMINALS AND APPROACH KPNC AND KCSM
LATE IN THE PERIOD. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TRSA POSSIBLE
NEAR FRONT TOWARD AND AFTER 00Z AND WILL MENTION IN
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

.UPDATE...
REMOVED MOST POPS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. PLEASE SEE THE
DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION HAS REMAINED WELL NORTH OF OUR FA THIS
EVENING NEAR A COLD FRONT AND JUST AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH
TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THERE IS STILL A SLIM CHANCE SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD SLIDE SOUTH FAR ENOUGH TO IMPACT EXTREME
NORTHERN OK THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SO WILL LEAVE SCHC
POPS IN ALONG THE BORDER. OTHERWISE...EXPECT BREEZY S WINDS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS LLJ INTENSIFIES. ADJUSTED SKY GRIDS
SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. NO OTHER SIG CHANGES
NEEDED. ALL UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75  97  74  95 /   0  10  20  20
HOBART OK         74  99  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  77 100  76  98 /   0  10   0  10
GAGE OK           72  93  68  94 /  10  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  96  70  92 /  10  20  60  40
DURANT OK         74  96  75  95 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/11



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