Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 200109
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
810 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

...RATHER BENIGN WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND THEN INCREASING CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WED...

.UPDATE...UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL FLORIDA OVERNIGHT WITH SOME PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDINESS AS
90-95 KT UPPER LVL JET TRAVERSES THE AREA. AT THE SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS WEAK WITH CALM TO LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED. GUID CONTINUES
TO INDICATE LIKELIHOOD FOR AT LEAST SOME PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG AND
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE OVERNIGHT. LOW TEMPS MAINLY IN THE LOWER 50S
WITH SOME UPPER 40S IN COOLER SPOTS. ZFP UPDATE WILL TWEAK WIND
WORDING JUST A BIT.

&&

.AVIATION...MAINLY VFR. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS ALL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
LIGHT S-SSW MORNING WINDS BECOMING LIGHT ESE/SE IN THE AFTERNOON
REMAINING AROUND 5 KTS OR LESS MOST TAF SITES. HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL
CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH A STRONG JET STREAM INFLUENCE
OVERHEAD. MOS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HINT AT SOME PATCHY FOG TOWARDS
SUNRISE SAT MORNING...ESPECIALLY INLAND FROM THE COAST.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 1-2 FT ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL FL WATERS THIS EVENING
WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING E-SE OVERNIGHT AND LIGHT
SOUTHERLY BY SAT MORNING. LIGHT MORNING SSW/SW FLOW SAT MAY BECOME
AN ONSHORE COMPONENT DURING THE AFTERNOON...SO LOW CONFIDENCE IN
PREDICTING WIND DIRECTION. SEAS MAINLY 1-2 FT...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT
OCCASIONAL 3 FT SEAS OVER THE OFFSHORE GULF STREAM. STILL FINE
BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. WHILE HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL
INCREASE OVER THE AREA...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABSENT
FROM THE FORECAST. A PERSISTENT EASTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL AROUND 10
SECONDS WILL CONTINUE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  51  73  58  75 /   0   0  10  30
MCO  52  76  57  79 /   0   0  10  20
MLB  53  75  60  77 /   0   0  10  20
VRB  54  76  59  77 /   0   0  10  10
LEE  51  73  56  78 /   0   0  10  30
SFB  52  75  57  78 /   0   0  10  30
ORL  54  75  57  78 /   0   0  10  20
FPR  53  75  59  77 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

VOLKMER/MOSES





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