Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 270108
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
908 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2016

...Wet Season Dry Spell Will Continue for Many Locations in east
central Florida...

.UPDATE...
Latest evening sounding (23Z/7PM) from Cape Canaveral reveals a
rather hostile atmosphere to precipitation let alone convection.
Ridging dominates the southeastern portion of the CONUS with warm
temperatures aloft (-5.0C at 500mb) and drying of the column
through the mid and low levels. Indeed, the latest sounding
indicates PWATs have dropped even further, down to an anomalously
dry 1.57 inches.

Sea-breeze collision currently taking place over far interior
Volusia County and Lake County looks to be the only hope for
shower chances through 11PM as low-level convergence overcomes a
rather hostile low and mid level environment. Will maintain a low
PoP through midnight in this area.

Otherwise, mainly dry overnight with clearing skies as even drier
air moves over the forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION...
Scattered SHRA and isolated TSRA across far interior (KLEE) as sea
breeze collision allows convection to linger through 03Z-04Z in
this area. Otherwise VFR overnight with light/variable winds.
Coverage of SHRA/TSRA expected to remain below normal again
Wednesday. VCTS has been limited to interior terminals for now.

&&

.MARINE...
Favorable boating conditions continue overnight as light onshore
flow veers out of the southeast and south overnight while
remaining around 10 knots or so. Seas generally 2 feet or less.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Although a few locations over the interior have seen above normal
rainfall this month, July 2016 is shaping up to be one of the
warmest and driest on record in east central Florida. Orlando,
Daytona Beach and Melbourne are each currently #1 warmest and #2
driest for the month, though there will likely be some adjustment
to these rankings by the end of the month.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  93  75  93 /  10  10  10  10
MCO  76  95  76  96 /  10  20  10  10
MLB  77  92  78  91 /  10  10  10  10
VRB  76  92  76  92 /  10  10  10  10
LEE  77  96  77  97 /  30  20  10  20
SFB  76  95  77  96 /  10  20  10  10
ORL  76  95  77  95 /  10  20  10  10
FPR  76  91  76  91 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Ulrich/Pendergrast


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