Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS65 KPUB 011708
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1108 AM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 350 AM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

COLD FRONT WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH WEAK SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE STATE. DRIER AIR MASS WILL COVER
MOST OF SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY AND TONIGHT...ELIMINATING THE CHANCE
OF CONVECTION OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS. EASTERN PLAINS WILL
SEE SOME WEAK LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND WITH
SOME WEAK WARM ADVECTIVE LIFT ABOVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR
SOUTH...COULD SEE ONE OR TWO STORMS NEAR THE KS BORDER EARLY THIS
EVENING. MAX TEMPS TODAY RIGHT AT SEASONAL NORMALS...WITH LOWS
TONIGHT FALLING OFF INTO THE 30S AND 40S OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH
VALLEYS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 AM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

...HOT WED...THEN MOISTURE FORECAST TO INCREASE BY LATE IN THE
WEEK....

TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY...

GENERALLY DRY AND HOT (ESPECIALLY WED) DURING THESE FEW DAYS.
TEMPS TUE AND THU WILL BE IN THE U80S MOST PLAINS...WITH TEMPS
WELL INTO THE 90S ON WED (A 100F READING IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION). WITH LIMITED MOISTURE OVER THE REGION IT WILL GENERALLY
BE DRY. THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY PRECIP WILL BE DOWN ACROSS FAR SE
CO AS A SFC TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THIS REGION WED AND THU.

FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...MOISTURE IS FCST TO
INCREASE OVER THE REGION BY QUITE A BIT. THIS FCST I BELIEVE WILL
BE DEPENDENT ON HOW ACTIVE THE SUBTROPICS WILL GET AS THE MOISTURE
IS FCST TO COME UP VIA A COUPLE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES THAT ARE FCST
TO DEVELOP IN THE GOLF OF MEXICO AND FAR E PACIFIC. IF THESE
SYSTEMS DEVELOP AS PER GUIDANCE SUGGEST...THEN WE WILL LIKELY SEE
THIS INCREASE IN PRECIP OVER THE REGION. BOTH GFS AND EC SHOW THIS
SCENARIO AND HPC QPF EXTENDED PROGS SHOW IT GETTING WETTER OVER
THE AREA. BASED ON THIS...HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE POPS A BIT FOR
LATER IN THE WEEK AND COOLED MAX TEMPS DOWNWARD. IT IS TOO EARLY
TO KNOW HOW WET IT WILL ACTUALLY GET...BUT THIS PATTERN WILL NEED
TO BE WATCHED FROM A FLASH FLOOD PERSPECTIVE.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 1108 AM MDT MON SEP 1 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THE KALS...KCOS AND KPUB
TAF SITES THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NONE.

&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.