Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 110912
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
312 AM CST Sun Dec 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Low clouds and moisture have slid west this morning, covering the
eastern half of the CWA. Zonal flow aloft along with a developing
surface low over the TX Panhandle will help shove this moisture east
by afternoon. Increasing downslope flow will also help
temperatures warm to the highest values we have seen in over a
week. Strong winds and low rh`s may create a few fire weather
concerns down south later this afternoon. A weak front arrives
tonight, but washes out along the Pecos River Monday afternoon.
Expect slightly cooler conditions over the northern Permian Basin
Monday and not much change elsewhere.

Zonal mid level flow continues into mid week, keeping any cold air
at bay. Temperatures will be well above normal during this time with
continued dry conditions. The forecast gets a bit complicated
later in the week when a strong cold front begins to move south
into the Southern Plains. Models continue to struggle with how
cold the air will be behind this front. There is still a potential
for large temperature forecast busts ahead due to this
uncertainty. Latest long range models show cooler air arriving
Thursday, retrieving Friday, and then coming back sometime during
the weekend. It is very possible that cold air settles in
Thursday, stays, and gets reinforced later next weekend. Time will
tell.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  37  68  43 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       72  39  72  40 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         72  47  75  46 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  76  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 63  43  65  42 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          69  35  67  40 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          69  35  71  35 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           72  37  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         71  39  70  43 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           73  39  73  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

67/29


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