Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 120444
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
944 PM MST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN
STATES INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
WARM WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10
TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...NINE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES SET TODAY...SEE
RECORDS BELOW.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
DELIVER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND LOW TEMPERATURES
AROUND THEIR SEASONAL AVERAGES. NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED TO THE
FORECAST.


A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 74 DEGREES WAS SET AT PRESCOTT AZ
AIRPORT TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 70 SET IN 1996.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 64 DEGREES WAS SET AT WINDOW ROCK AZ
AIRPORT TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 58 SET IN 2002.
NOTE: RECORDS ONLY DATE BACK TO 1999.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 66 DEGREES WAS TIED AT WINDOW ROCK AZ
AIRPORT TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 66 SET IN 2012.
NOTE: RECORDS ONLY DATE BACK TO 2000.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 59 DEGREES WAS TIED AT NAVAJO NATIONAL
MONUMENT AZ TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 59 SET IN 2015.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 66 DEGREES WAS SET AT THE NWS OFFICE IN
BELLEMONT AZ TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 59 SET IN 2002.
NOTE: RECORDS ONLY DATE BACK TO 2000.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 54 DEGREES WAS TIED AT THE BRIGHT ANGEL
RANGER STATION AZ TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 54 SET IN
2002.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 76 DEGREES WAS SET AT SELIGMAN AZ
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 71 SET IN 1951.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS SET AT COTTONWOOD-
TUZIGOOT AZ TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 80 SET IN 1971.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 64 DEGREES WAS SET AT WILLIAMS AZ
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 63 SET IN 1996.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /342 PM MST/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS ARIZONA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MUCH
WARMER THAN NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. IN FACT...A
FEW NEW RECORD HIGHS MAY BE SET THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE COMING
WEEKEND. IN SOME CASES...THESE RECORDS COULD BE BREAKING PREVIOUS
RECORD HIGHS THAT WERE JUST SET DURING LAST YEAR`S ABNORMALLY WARM
FEBRUARY.  BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL
FOR A TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. THE MAIN IMPACT WOULD BE
INCREASING CLOUDS AND STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY...LEADING TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS HEADING INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION... FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WITH A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...TC/KD
AVIATION...TC


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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